NCAA Men’s Basketball Betting Guide – January 23
- Updated: January 24, 2012
The 2011/2012 men’s college basketball season presses on and while some teams continue to try and build a resume that is good enough to earn an automatic bid to this year’s NCAA Tournament, the rest of the pack continue to jockey for position within their respective conference. With this many games in the books, we now have a solid feel for which ones have provided a solid return on investment and which ones have been a major drain on the bankroll.
This guide will single-out a few teams that are definitely worth a second- look when it comes to wagering on the games in light of their overall performance against the spread.
The No.5 Missouri Tigers are not only making a steady climb to top of the national rankings with a couple of huge victories in the Big 12, they are providing an excellent return on investment with a 5-1 record ATS in their last six games. Overall, Missouri is now 18-1 straight-up and 10-4 ATS. It has been especially profitable at home with a 5-2 record ATS. The total has gone 8-6 overall, but it has stayed ‘under’ in four of the Tigers’ last six games. Missouri is averaging 83.4 points a game while shooting 50.9 percent from the field.
Another team that is starting to capture some attention amongst those who like to wager on the Big Ten is the Wisconsin Badgers. Saturday’s 67-63 victory over then-No.25 Illinois as 1.5-point road favorites raised the Badgers’ overall record to 16-5 SU and 12-6 ATS. They have now covered in three of their last four games and are 6-2 ATS at home and 4-2 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 11 of the 18 games overall. Wisconsin is averaging 65.6 points a game, but defense remains its primary strength. It is ranked first in the nation in points allowed; giving-up an average of just 49.6 a game.
A couple of Mid-Major programs that have been veritable ATM machines this season are the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders, out of the Sun Belt Conference and the Western Athletic Conference’s Nevada Wolf Pack. The Blue Raiders’ 68-47 romp over South Alabama this past Saturday as 7.5-point road favorites was their 12th victory in-a-row SU and seventh in their last nine ATS. Overall, Middle Tennessee State is 19-2 SU and 15-4 ATS. It is 6-3 ATS at home this season and a profitable 8-1 ATS on the road. The total has gone 8-10-1 in 19 games this season.
Nevada ran its current winning streak to 13 games with a 74-61 victory over Fresno State as a 9.5-point home favorite this past Saturday. The Wolf Pack are now 16-3 SU on the year and 12-3 ATS. They have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 games with a posted line and are 6-2 ATS at home and a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. The total has gone 8-7 overall, but has gone ‘over’ in five of their last six games. Nevada is averaging 71 points a game, but has scored 77 points or more in five of its last eight games.
A couple of other teams that done very well ATS and have been a solid play on the total line this season are the ACC’s Virginia Cavaliers and the West Virginia Mountaineers, from the Big East. The No.17 Cavaliers are coming off a tough 47-45 loss to Virginia Tech this past Sunday as 7.5-point home favorites, but they are still 15-3 SU and 9-4 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 12 of the 13 games.
West Virginia is coming off a thrilling 77-74 overtime victory over Cincinnati on Saturday, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point home favorite. The Mountaineers are now 15-5 SU on the year and still a healthy 11-6 ATS. The total went ‘over’ the 136-point line against the Bearcats and has now gone ‘over’ in 12 of the Mountaineers’ 17 games.
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