NCAA Football Free Betting Prediction: East Carolina vs. South Florida 9/22/2018

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Saturday, 09/22/2018 at 08:00 pm E CAROLINA (1-2) at S FLORIDA (4-0)
Expanded Matchup Game Center Bet Now Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
341E CAROLINA 67 25.7 22.3 1-2 2-1-0 1-2-0 148 286.7 434.7 119.3 200.7 320
342S FLORIDA -21 32 21 4-0 1-3-0 1-2-0 175.5 290.3 465.8 244.8 162.3 407.1

Last Updated: 2018-09-18

The East Carolina Pirates and South Florida Bulls are set to square off on the grass of Raymond James Stadium. The game is scheduled to get underway at 8:00 p.m. ET and ESNN has the TV rights.

East Carolina vs. South Florida Betting Odds

East Carolina is a big road underdog here and is currently receiving 22 points from bookmakers. Some good in-game betting opportunities may exist during this showdown, and the over/under (O/U) has been placed at 64.5 points.

Sharp bettors are siding with the over. This game’s total was placed initially at 63.5.

The Pirates are 1-1 straight up (SU) and they haven’t faced any AAC competition yet. The Bulls are 3-0 SU overall and are also 0-0 SU in conference play. The Pirates have gained 0.0 units so far in 2018 and are 1-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-1.

The Bulls are up 2.5 units this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-1.

The Pirates are coming off a resounding 41-19 victory over North Carolina on September 8 where Reid Herring completed 19 passes for 290 yards and one touchdown. Anthony Scott (73 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) and Hussein Howe (50 yards on 15 carries) led the ground attack in the win while Deondre Farrier (five receptions, 52 yards) and Trevon Brown (four catches, 90 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.

South Florida enters this one after just earning a 25-19 win over Illinois. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Fighting Illini to rush for 212 yards on 48 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Mike Epstein was a force to be reckoned with, recording 113 rushing yards and a score on 19 attempts, along with 56 yards on five catches for Illinois. For South Florida, Blake Barnett completed 23-of-40 passes for 411 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Jordan Cronkrite (136 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Barnett (17 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the ground attack in the win as Mitchell Wilcox (eight receptions, 109 yards) and Randall St. Felix (six catches, 120 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

East Carolina’s run the ball on 44.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while South Florida has a rush percentage of 51.7 percent. The Pirates have produced 144 rush yards/game and have four scores via handoffs this year. The Bulls are logging 194 rush yards per contest and have five total rushing TDs.

The Pirates have averaged 302 yards through the air overall and have three passing TDs so far. The Bulls have produced 328 pass yards per outing and have seven total pass scores.

East Carolina has let opponents run for an average of 122 yards and pass for 211 yards per game. South Florida has allowed 274.3 yards per game on the ground and 131.0 to opponents in the air. The Bulls are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 2.42 to opposing QBs, while the Pirates have given up a 6.30 ANY/A.

Herring is up to 290 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 19-of-32 attempts with one passing touchdowns and has yet to throw an interception. Herring has a 9.00 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.57 over the last two games.

Anthony Scott (73 rushing yards, one rush TD, 20 receiving yards on the year), Trevon Brown (90 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Deondre Farrier (52 receiving yards) have each played big roles recently.

Blake Barnett has accounted for 716 yards, five TDs and two INTs for South Florida. His ANY/A stands at 9.42 for the season and 7.38 over his past two games.

Tyre McCants (28 rushing yards, 103 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown on the year), Jordan Cronkrite (136 rush yards, one rush TD) and Randall St. Felix (263 receiving yards, one receiving TD) have combined for 537 yards from scrimmage over the last two games.

These two programs met last year with the final outcome being a 61-31 victory for South Florida.

East Carolina Pirates at South Florida Bulls Free NCAA Betting Tip

SU Winner – South Florida, ATS Winner – East Carolina, O/U – Under


Team Betting Notes

The South Florida defensive unit has recorded 10 sacks on the year while East Carolina has just one.

South Florida has lost zero fumbles this season while East Carolina has let one get away.

The Pirates offense has tallied zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bulls have accounted for four such plays.

The East Carolina defense has allowed one pass play of 40+ yards, while South Florida has given up two such plays.

Both defenses have produced three rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The East Carolina offense has recorded seven running plays of 10+ yards while South Florida has accounted for 20 such plays.

The Pirates defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bulls have given up nine such runs.

South Florida was the underdog by 14 points in its previous matchup and the O/U was set at 59. The under cashed and South Florida covered in that 25-19 win over Illinois.

East Carolina was getting 15 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 59. The over cashed and East Carolina covered in the 41-19 triumph over North Carolina.

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