Last Updated: 2018-01-03
NBA – TRENDS OF THE DAY
After two or three days that had allowed punters to rest and recover from the holidays, the NBA circus is at its full steam tonight. Twelve days are scheduled to play, and none bigger than the Celtics-Cavs showdown in Boston. That’s a lot of trends, but if you don’t mind the extra data, check out our NBA Top Trends page or other advice we provide.
But first, let’s see what are we working with. Here’s the list of all games in order of their tip-off: Houston at Orlando, San Antonio at Philadelphia, New York at Washington, Minnesota at Brooklyn, Detroit at Miami, Cleveland at Boston, Toronto at Chicago, Indiana at Milwaukee, Golden State at Dallas, Phoenix at Denver, New Orleans at Utah and Oklahoma City at LA Lakers.
- The Jazz are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.
It’s hard to win in Salt Lake City, but this recent moneymaking trend can be easily overlooked. The Jazz haven’t played in four days and have only had three home games since December 9th! Of those three, they’ve won straight up against the Cavaliers and the Spurs, so don’t read too much into Gobert’s injury or their current position in the standings. Also, this home trend is supported from an unlikely angle: the Pelicans are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
- The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Bulls’ backers came up short in the last game like we warned it could happen in a blurb on Blazers tendencies, but they came very close to covering again. The positive trend is still hot for the Bulls and the Raptors aren’t so convincing on the road.
- The Mavericks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference.
They are also very reliable at home, covering five of their last six Dallas games and have won four straight against the spread. The Warriors were impressive in Curry’s return and have covered with regularity against Dirk and friend, but we all know which side is going to be more valuable here.
- The Heat are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.
There are very few teams who actually flinch when they have to play at home, and the Heat are certainly one. The Pistons are coming in well rested and are perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on at least three days rest. They also seem to have the Heat number as off late – the Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
- The Celtics are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
It’s great when a team doesn’t have a memory of a defeat, and none erase a bad game like the Celtics. The Cavs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 overall, and are playing on the tail end of a back-to-back set, but are hyped up about the showdown. Punters can expect the public bettors to react in a similar fashion, so we like the home side, despite the bookmakers obvious effort to stop Celtics’ amazing ATS season.
- Under is 12-3-1 in Pistons last 16 road games.
Also, as an almost perfect partner for this dance, under is 7-1 in the Heat last eight home games. Over the longer stretch, both trends get some very good support. Overall, Detroit tops the set line just 22.7 percent of the time in their last 22 games, and the Heat are doing it on 26.7 percent of attempts in the last 30 games of their own. Under is 19-9-1 in the last 29 meetings in Miami.
- Over is 6-1 in Bulls last 7 overall.
The Bulls have started competing when they’ve started hitting their shots. For the length of the season, they’ve been chained to the NBA bottom as the worst offensive team, so the books are having a tough time adjusting to the recent explosion. The Raptors are supportive from their side – they’ve gone 4-1 against the over/under in their last five games away from home and have been bleeding allowed points on the road lately. We like the plus side here.
- Under is 5-0 in the Spurs last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
The Spurs on the back to back night were always something of an enigma. They can (and will) rest any veteran or convalescent player, and very few don’t fall into at least one group. However, the approach does not change. They are winning on the defense, and that’s exactly what they did last night in New York. Another under extended their great road under trend to 14-3 in the last 17 games played away from home, but we chose a shorter streak to showcase how they respond to back-to-back schedule. Under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between two franchises.
- Under is 4-1 in the Knicks last 5 games overall.
The Knicks are mirroring Porzingis play. They go as he goes, and he isn’t dropping his shots lately. There’s also very little responsibility to make an extra pass, as any player can hoist (bad) shots at will, and it’s hurting them. The Wizards are in a reverse trend looking at the last few, but it’s just a smoke screen. Under is 20-8-1 in the Wizards last 29.
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