Last Updated: 2017-12-07
We managed to sneak under the number in Orlando even with overtime to move to a combined 21-7 (6-6 regular, 15-1 opinion) overall with our NBA Totals Plays, although late money in the final hour before tip-off did push the number back down before tip-off, so a possible loss or push for those who tailed late. Always hate when that happens and would rather lose when followers win, but it does pop up on occasion.
Small slate of games today, so we’ll look at each of the four matchups in a little more detail than normal and see if we can’t find one decent play.
LA Lakers at Philadelphia: The 76ers are favored by 7.5 points and the total is at 220.5, while I have Philadelphia coming away with a 114-102 victory. Philadelphia is 4-5 following a loss and the Lakers are 6-8 after a defeat. The 76ers have been a slight over team this season, but most of those overs have come on the road, where they are 7-4 compared to 5-7 at home. The Lakers are also a slight under team on the road. The game is being broadcast on TNT, so there will be a little more interest than normal, but will have to take this one to land under the total for totals opinion play.
Washington at Phoenix: The Wizards are favored by 7 with a total of 214 in a slight reverse line move, as the total opened 215.5 and has seen relatively even betting. I have the Wizards winning 116-103 and Washington is just 3-10 on the road this season. The Wizards are just 4-8 after a victory, while the Suns are 9-7 after a loss, so conflicting trends in that regard. The Suns are 16-10 overall in totals but just 7-6 at home.
Oklahoma City at Brooklyn: The Thunder are favored by 7 and the total is 214.5, while I have Nets winning 110-103. The Thunder have been a good under team all season, but have done better at home from that standpoint, while the Nets also do better at home. This game is being played in Mexico City, which is a new venue and could lead to some shooting woes, but the players and the league may also look to provide entertaining games, which typically means lots of points. The games could be called a little tighter than usual, so will be staying away from the Mexico City Games completely.
Houston at Utah: The Rockets are favored by 6 with a total of 209 and I have Houston winning 106-101, so will be staying away.