NBA Prediction: Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers

hawks cavs nba picks

hawks cavs nba picksNBA Odds: Hawks (even)

The Cleveland Cavaliers (39-24) head to Atlanta (48-12) to take on the Hawks in a matchup that pits the fourth-ranked offense against the fifth-ranked defense. The game gets underway at 7:30 pm ET on Friday, Mar. 6 and will air on FSN-OH and SPSO.

The Hawks were victorious over the Rockets 104-96 on Tuesday. Jeff Teague led all scorers with 25 points on 7-for-12 shooting. The Cavaliers, meanwhile, are coming off a 120-112 win over the Raptors on Wednesday. LeBron James played well and claimed his 17th double-double of the season, posting 29 points and 14 assists.

It will be a battle of strength versus strength, as the high-powered offense of the Cavaliers (fourth in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 107.8) takes the court against the top-notch defense of the Hawks (fifth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 99.8).

The Hawks have won two out of three against the Cavaliers this season, including a 109-101 victory in their last matchup. Paul Millsap was a top performer in the victory with 26 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals, and three blocks.

The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is presently unavailable. The Hawks enter the game with records of 48-12 Straight Up (SU) and 38-22 Against The Spread (ATS). They have gone 31-8 SU and 23-16 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference. Atlanta has consistently been near the top of the league in terms of FG%, currently ranking third in the league with a field goal percentage of .466. Atlanta has the second-most assists in the NBA, averaging 25.5 per game.

On the other side, Cleveland has a SU record of 39-24 and an ATS record of 32-31. Cleveland has done particularly well ATS over its past ten matchups, going 7-3.

Atlanta won the last meeting this season between these two teams, bringing its SU record to 7-3 over the Cavaliers in the last 10 games. However, the Cavaliers lead the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Atlanta had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) four times over the last 10. Cleveland has had the edge in all categories once.

Predictions: SU Winner – CLE, ATS Winner – CLE


The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games.

Cleveland is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games.

Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing Atlanta.

Cleveland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta.

Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland.

Atlanta scores an average of 102.6 points per game (ranked eighth). Cleveland ranks 12th in points allowed per game with 98.7.

On average, Atlanta scores 102.3 points per home game (ranked 10th). Cleveland ranks 14th in points allowed per road game with 100.5.

When allowing fewer than 100 points, the Hawks are 35-3 on the season. When the Cavaliers score fewer than 100, they are a poor 7-19.

When the Atlanta Hawks allow at least 100 points they are 13-9, while the Cleveland Cavaliers are 32-5 when they register triple digits.

The Cavaliers have a defensive rating of 103.4 (ranked 18th). The Hawks rank sixth for their offensive rating of 106.3.

The Atlanta Hawks average 96.5 possessions per game and 1.063 points per possession, while the Cleveland Cavaliers earn fewer possessions (95.4) but more points per possession (1.078).

The Atlanta Hawks have one of the best effective field goal percentages this season, ranking third in the league with an EFF% of 52.7%. When their opponents have a similar or higher EFF%, the Cleveland Cavaliers are 10-12.

On average, the Atlanta Hawks attempt 26.0 three point field goals per game and the Cleveland Cavaliers attempt 26.5 per game. In games where they attempt at least 25 threes, Atlanta has a stellar 30-7 record, while Cleveland is 22-17.

The Atlanta Hawks are among the best in the league with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.88 (ranked third). Ranking 13th, the Cleveland Cavaliers have an A/TO of 1.65.

Atlanta ranks 27th in rebounds per game with 41.2, while Cleveland ranks 17th with 43.2 per game.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank 11th in offensive rebounding, while the Atlanta Hawks rank 13th in defensive rebounding.

Atlanta is one of the best in the league in forcing turnovers, with opponents averaging a TOV% of 15.7% (ranked fifth). Cleveland is an even 11-11 SU when it has a TOV% of 15.7% or greater.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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