Tuesday night brings us a larger nine-game slate to discuss.
As for Monday, Charlotte was this close several times to covering as there was one overtime, then a second. Thankfully the extra point turned out to be needed as a loss turned into a push in a game that sailed past the over.
Fortunately, Denver’s shooting heated up just enough along with their defensive intensity. Milwaukee had few answers as their perimeter shooting was contested and at best ice cold most of the night. The result was an easy double-digit point win for the Nuggets that was never in doubt.
Our overall record is 31-26-3 on the season and yes, leans mean there is no consensus spread out yet. However, staying away from the Toronto-Utah game if the spread moved too high proved to be prophetic.
We take a fast look at two games on this Tuesday night.
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Lines from 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Orlando Magic (+2.5) vs Memphis Grizzlies
Orlando and Memphis are sort of the irresistible force meets the movable object. In one of the crazier games to look at. There is some total contrast. The Magic have connected on the over a whopping 11 straight times. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies control the pace to such a level that the under has hit in six consecutive games.
Memphis has been playing well over their previous five contests – going 4-1 straight up and ATS. However, Orlando has won just two of their five games but has covered in four of five – including a resounding 20-point blowout of the Houston Rockets on the road. This again presents a challenge as both teams come in with momentum.
Orlando’s epic streak with the over has pushed their record to 20-11 which is the slate’s best for road teams. Memphis is just 14-18 at home in that scenario. The Magic have benefited from some hot shooting along the way and they may be able to control enough of the pace to keep this game very close or win outright. Remember, the last meeting was a resounding 32-point win for Orlando at home in November.
Our pick tonight is taking Orlando with the 2.5 points. Also, that number may move a little bit later in the day so do not be surprised.
Pick: Orlando Magic, +2.5
Dallas Mavericks (-3) vs San Antonio Spurs
The two teams come in off losses, but Dallas has won six of ten overall while San Antonio has won just four. Dallas thankfully is on the road where they are 21-11 while the Spurs are just 15-14 at home.
A big problem both teams of late is being able to cover. Dallas has not covered in three of their last five games. However, San Antonio has been far worse as they have missed the cover in seven consecutive contests.
Dallas is 2-3 straight up in their previous five games while San Antonio has lost four of five. Again, the overall ATS records are complete opposites. The Spurs are 9-20 at home while the Mavericks are 20-9-2 away from home. Only the Boston Celtics come close to covering that often on this slate ATS.
The Mavericks are also within a few games of Utah and could hop a few teams as the playoffs draw closer. Dallas’ scoring margin is +6.7 points per game on the road while San Antonio rides in with a negative 3.7 point scoring margin per contest.
Again, the Mavericks are giving only 3 points and have covered in seven consecutive road meetings against the San Antonio Spurs.
Pick: Dallas Mavericks, -3
One Final Note:
How will Brooklyn and the Los Angeles Lakers game end up? The feeling is that Los Angeles should be able to cover and that is our one lean. Good luck tonight!