Final 2018-19 NBA First Half Power Ratings

Date | AuthorAllen Moody

Last Updated: 2019-04-11

These are the final first half power ratings for the 2018-19 and the numbers that I’ll use entering the playoffs. As with the full-game ratings, I didn’t penalize teams down the stretch when they weren’t really playing to win.

These numbers started a little later than the full game numbers, so it is interesting to see a few of the differences regarding teams who either started off fast and then faded a bit or teams who picked it up in the second half of the season.

The big question is how the playoffs affect scoring and we’ll look at that in an article that will be up the day before the playoffs begin.

We’ll use the same example teams that we do for the regular power ratings, Toronto and Philadelphia. If the 76ers are at Toronto, we’d take Toronto’s home offensive rating of 60 and add to Philadelphia’s away defensive rating of 1 for a projection of 61. Next, take Philadelphia’s away offensive rating of 59 and add to Toronto’s defensive rating of(-2) for a total of 57. So our projection is Toronto leading at the half 61-57.

If Toronto is at Philadelphia, take the 76ers’ offensive rating of 61 and add Toronto’s defensive rating of (-2) for 59 points, while taking Toronto’s offensive number of 59 and adding to Philadelphia’s defensive rating of 2 for a total of 61. Therefore, we’d have the Raptors leading at the half, 61-59.

ATLANTIC DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Toronto Raptors 60 – (-2) 59 – (-2)
Philadelphia 76ers 61 – 2 59 – 1
Boston Celtics 58 – (-1) 54 – (-4)
Brooklyn Nets 56 – (-1) 53 – (-2)
New York Knicks 54 – 4 50 -3
CENTRAL DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Milwaukee Bucks 61 – 0 57 – (-2)
Indiana Pacers 56 – (-1) 53 – (-4)
Detroit Pistons 51 – (-4) 53 – 3
Chicago Bulls 54 – 1 48 – (-2)
Cleveland Cavs 57 – 0 51 – 3
SOUTHEASTERN DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Charlotte Hornets 56 – 2 53 – 0
Orlando Magic 58 – (-5) 54 – (-2)
Washington Wizards 58 – 4 59 – 4
Miami Heat 54 – (-1) 54 – (-1)
Atlanta Hawks 60 – 7 59 – 4
NORTHWEST DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Denver Nuggets 57 – (-2) 52 – 0
Oklahoma City Thunder 57 – 2 56 – 1
Portland Trail Blazers 61- 0 54 – (-4)
Minnesota Timberwolves 56 – 4 56 – 2
Utah Jazz 57 – (-6) 54 – (-6)
PACIFIC DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Golden State Warriors 60- (-2) 62 -(-1)
Los Angeles Clippers 61 – 0 57 – 2
Los Angeles Lakers 55 – 0 57 – 4
Sacramento Kings 55 – 2 57 – 3
Phoenix Suns 54 – 1 53 – 2
SOUTHWEST DIVISION Home Power Ratings Away Power Ratings
Memphis Grizzlies 55 – (-2) 55 – (-2)
Dallas Mavericks 57 – 1 56 – 1
New Orleans Pelicans 57 – 5 57 – 6
San Antonio Spurs 56 – (-2) 54 – 0
Houston Rockets 57 – (-3) 60 – (-4)

 

Updating the Ratings

The updating process works in the same manner as the full game ratings, but we’ll make adjustments when the halftime score is five or more points from our projection, as opposed to eight or more for the full game ratings.

Using our prediction of Toronto 60-56 in Toronto, if the Raptors score 65 or more points in the first half, their home offensive number would be raised a point, while Philadelphia’s away defensive number would also be raised a point. If the Raptors scored 55 or fewer points, there would be a one-point reduction in their offensive number, while the 76ers would see a one-point decrease in their away defensive number. Remember, if you raise one team’s offense, you will raise the opposition’s defense, while if you lower one team’s offense, you will also lower the opposition’s defense.

If the 76ers score 61 or more points, they would see a one-point increase in their away offensive rating, while the Raptors would see their home defensive rating go up a point. If Philadelphia scores 51 or fewer points in the first half, there would be a one-point decrease in their away offensive number and a one-point decrease to Toronto’s home defensive rating.

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