The Racers and Salukis are set to face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Salukis will host the game at Banterra Center in Carbondale, IL. The over/under for this Missouri Valley conference contest is set at 135.5 points, with Southern Illinois being favored by -4.5 at home against Murray State.

MURRAY STATE RACERS VS SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Southern Illinois Salukis -4.5

This game will be played at Banterra Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 21st.

WHY BET THE SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Salukis.
  • Not only will Southern Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Does Murray State Stand a Chance on the Road?

Heading into their game against Southern Illinois, Murray State is 11-16 overall and 8-8 in Missouri Valley Conference play. They’ve gone just 4-8 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin is +2.1 points per game.

As the underdog, the Racers have gone 5-9 this season, and they’ve been the underdog in 14 of their 27 games. In their last game, they lost to Drake by a score of 95-72.

Overall this season, Murray State has an ATS record of 11-15. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-5, and they are 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games. As the underdog, the Racers are 8-6 vs. the spread this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Murray State games is 11-15 and today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games of 142.2. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 154 points.

The Murray State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 72 points vs. Drake. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s top scorer is Quincy Anderson, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 12.5, while Rob Perry also carries a PPG average of 12.3 into the game.

At present, the Racers’ defense is nationally ranked 100th, allowing 69.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Murray State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 45.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 35.1% this season.

Will Southern Illinois Make it Happen at Home?

The Salukis are 11-5 at home this season and have won two straight games. They are favored by 4.5 points today, and they have been the favorite in 15 of their 27 games this year. Their record as the favorite is 13-2.

On the other hand, the Racers are 5-5 on the road this season, and they have lost their last two games away from home. Southern Illinois’ average scoring margin at home this season is +8.2 points per game.

As the favorite, Southern Illinois has gone 10-5 vs. the spread this season and is 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Salukis are 10-6 ATS this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

This season, the over/under record in Southern Illinois games is 16-10. So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 135.5. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points.

The Southern Illinois offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Indiana State. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.9% while connecting on 6 threes. For the season, the Southern Illinois offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they have hit 54% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 8.1 made three’s per contest.

So far this season, the Southern Illinois defense has been performing well, ranking 59th in the country at 67.0 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. Indiana State, the Sycamores finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 69 points vs. Southern Illinois.