Looking to win big? The Racers and Sycamores face off at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. The Sycamores are hosting the game at Hulman Center in Terre Haute, IN. The over/under for this Missouri Valley conference contest is set at 151 points, with Indiana State being favored by -14 at home against Murray State.


The Pick: Murray State Racers +14

This game will be played at Hulman Center at 4:00 ET on Sunday, March 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Sycamores.
  • Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Murray State at +14.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can Murray State Pull Off a Road Win?

Heading into their matchup with Indiana State, Murray State has a record of 12-18, including a 9-10 mark in Missouri Valley Conference play. On the road, the Racers are 4-9 this season, and they have lost their last three games away from home.

So far, Murray State has been the underdog in 15 of their 30 games, going 5-10 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is +1.6 points per game.

As the underdog, Murray State has gone 9-6 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS record of 12-17. On the road, the Racers are 8-5 vs. the spread this year and their last 3 road ATS mark is 1-2.

Throughout the season, the over/under record in Murray State games is 13-16. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 142.4 and today’s line of 151 is higher than 25 of their 30 games. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

The Murray State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 61 points vs. Belmont. Overall their field goal percentage was 42.9% while connecting on 4 threes. Jacobi Wood is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 12.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Quincy Anderson brings a PPG average of 12.4 into the game.

The Racers’ defense is presently ranked 106th nationally, allowing an average of 69.6 points per contest. Against Belmont, the Racers’ defense gave up 83 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Belmont only made 9 free-throws.

Will the Sycamores Make it Happen at Home?

Indiana State, who is 12-1 at home this season, is favored by 14 points today against Murray State. The Sycamores have won 23 of their 25 games as the favorite this season.

Over their last ten home games, Indiana State is 9-1. They have won their last three games and are 25-5 overall this season.

Indiana State has an overall ATS record of 17-11-1 this season and they are 9-3-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last three home games, the Sycamores are 1-1-1 vs. the spread and they are 6-3-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. As the favorite, Indiana State has a favorite ATS record of 16-8-1 this season and they are 5-4-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Indiana State’s over/under record this season sits at 16-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 156.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 151 is lower than the average OU line in their games (155.7). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 153 points.

In their recent game, the Sycamores’ offense concluded with 85 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 84.4 points per contest. The top scorer for the Sycamores was Robbie Avila with 35 points, while Ryan Conwell also chipped in with 15 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Indiana State defense is giving up an average of 71.9 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.1% this season.