Looking to win big? The Racers and Bulldogs face off at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bulldogs are hosting the game at The Knapp Center in Des Moines, IA. This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 140.5 points, and Drake is favored to win by -9.5 at home vs. Murray State.


The Pick: Murray State Racers +9.5

This game will be played at The Knapp Center at 2:00 ET on Sunday, February 18th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bulldogs.
  • Even though we have Drake winning straight-up, we like Murray State at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Murray State Stand a Chance on the Road?

After winning their last two games, Murray State will look to keep their momentum going as they take on Drake. So far this season, the Racers have gone 11-15, including an 8-7 record in Missouri Valley Conference play.

As the underdog, Murray State has gone 5-8 this season, and they will enter this game as 9.5-point underdogs. On the road, the Racers have gone 4-7, and their average scoring margin is +4.4 points per game.

As the underdog, Murray State has an ATS record of 8-5 this season. Their overall ATS record is 11-14. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-4, and their last 10 road ATS record is 6-4. In their last three games as the underdog, the Racers have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Murray State games is 10-15 and today’s line of 140.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (142.3). So far, 14 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Murray State’s offense scored 82 points against Missouri State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 54.1%, and they went 8/15 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Nick Ellington with 23 points. Quincy Anderson also added 16 points for the Racers.

So far, the Racers’ defense is ranked 83rd in the country at 68.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Murray State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.3% this season.

Can the Bulldogs Secure a Win at Home?

Drake enters tonight’s game with a perfect 14-0 record at home, and they have won their last 14 games overall. Their average scoring margin at home is +17.0 points per game, compared to +1.5 points per game on the road.

Overall, the Bulldogs are 21-5 this season, and they are 18-4 when favored. They have been the favorite in 22 of their 26 games. In their most recent game, they defeated Evansville by a score of 78-75.

Drake has an ATS record of 12-13 this season, and they are 8-6 vs. the spread at home. Their ATS mark as the favorite is 10-12, and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite.

Drake games have an over/under record of 13-12 this season and today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (145.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

Coming off their recent game, the Drake offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against Evansville. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.1%, and they made 13 threes. The top scorer for the Bulldogs was Atin Wright with 26 points, while Tucker DeVries also chipped in with 17 points.

At this time, the Bulldogs’ defense is positioned 95th in the country, permitting 68.8 points per game. The Drake defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed Evansville to connect on 8 threes.