Last Updated: 2017-12-02
College basketball teams are starting with conference play, so it’s a good time to look at some updated power ratings and a few notes on what has transpired in the early going of the season. One thing that becomes evident is the type of schedules teams have slated, as some teams with no more than one loss will be rated lower than teams that are .500 just due to their strength of schedule.
We’ll start with the Mountain West, where the two Nevada teams are off to a combined 13-1 start, but neither has played the most difficult schedule around. Wyoming could be a team to keep an eye on, as they’re 4-2 against Division I teams and have played some decent teams, owning the highest AOPR in the conference.
Mountain West Power Ratings
Boise State 86
SD State 83
Fresno State 80
Utah State 79
New Mexico 78
Colorado State 72
Air Force 68
San Jose State 65
While Nevada was highly hated in most of the power ratings used for our update, several had them a bit higher than others, such as Jeff Sagarin’s Combo ratings, which have the Wolfpack as the No. 11 team and also have UNLV at No. 17, which is likely a bit on the high side, but did help factor into the Runnin’ Rebels high rating. Sagarin also had San Diego State in the top 30, which helps account for the Mountain West’s rating as the seventh-toughest conference, which is probably a bit generous.
Wyoming, who we previously mentioned, isn’t rated as highly by some as others, and is the reason for the Cowboys’ relatively low rating. Wyoming is just 3-3 ATS but have gone 1-5 in totals.
A bit surprising to see the Lobos ranked so low, but while New Mexico has played a decent schedule, they haven’t been getting the wins, but should be fine as the season goes along.
There is definitely a bit of a gap to the bottom three teams, who have kept the conference from being rated a little bit higher. Air Force is one of those teams that you never like to play, but the Falcons’ defense hasn’t been quite what it was, although they may get a little better the more the season goes on.
San Diego State is another team that can make some noise, but may be a bit over-priced in the near future after their 6-2 straight-up start and 4-2 ATS mark.
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