Planning on watching today’s Mountaineers and Saints game? Catch the action at MVP Arena in Albany, NY, as the Saints hosts this showdown at 2:00 ET on ESPN+. Mount St. Mary’s is favored by -8.5 in this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference contest against Siena. The game’s over/under currently sits at 135.5 points.


The Pick: Siena Saints +8.5

This game will be played at MVP Arena at 2:00 ET on Sunday, February 4th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Saints.
  • Not only will Siena pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 135.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can the Mountaineers Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

Mount St. Mary’s is 8-13 overall and 4-6 in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. On the road, they are just 3-10 compared to 5-3 at home. They come into this game having won their last game against Marist, 76-58, and they are 1-2 in their last three road games.

So far this season, the Mountaineers have been favored in 11 of their 21 games, going 7-4 in those contests. For the year, they have an average scoring differential of -4.2 points per game on the road.

Mount St. Mary’s has an ATS record of 9-11-1 this season, including a mark of 5-7-1 on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Mountaineers are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Mount St. Mary’s games is 13-8. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 137.7 and the average point total is 142.4. Today’s line of 135.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, the average point total is 134 points and their OU record for their last 10 games is 6-4.

In their latest game, Mount St. Mary’s offense put up 76 points against Marist. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.9% and made 11 threes. In terms of offense, the Mountaineers have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 98th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 311st in percentage and 272nd in three-pointers made.

In terms of defense, Mount St. Mary’s is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 70.7 points per game. Mount St. Mary’s’ three-point defense is currently 68th in the country at 6.2 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Mount St. Mary’s.

Will the Saints Defense Show Up at Home?

Today, Siena will be looking to end their five-game losing streak as they take on Mount St. Mary’s. So far, the Saints have gone 2-8 in conference games, compared to their 1-10 record in non-conference matchups.

On the season, Siena’s average scoring margin at home is -14.8. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 2-8. In their most recent contest, the Saints lost to Rider by a score of 91-50.

As the underdog, Siena has gone 7-12 vs. the spread this season and they are just 1-9 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Saints have a .500 record vs. the spread (5-5).

Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Siena’s games this year (137.8). So far, 11 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 125 points compared to their season average of 137 points per game.

Compared to their season average of 60.5 points per game, Siena struggled in their previous game. Against Rider, the Saints scored 50 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 36%. The team’s top scorer is Giovanni Emejuru, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 10.6, while Sean Durugordon also maintains a PPG average of 23.2 leading up to the game.

Coming into the game, Siena will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 76.5 points per game (265th). In their previous game vs. Rider, the Broncs finished with a field goal percentage of 51% and a total of 91 points vs. Siena.