Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Mountaineers and Broncs. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Broncs at Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) in Lawrenceville, NJ. Get ready to place your bets! Mount St. Mary’s is favored by -1 in this Metro Atlantic Athletic conference matchup the against Rider. The over/under for the game is set at 146 points.


The Pick: Rider Broncs +1

This game will be played at Alumni Gymnasium (Rider) at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Broncs.
  • Not only will Rider pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Mountaineers Lock in a Win at Lawrenceville?

Mount St. Mary’s is favored by 1 point in today’s game against Rider. They have gone 9-4 when favored this season. Overall, the Mountaineers have gone 11-13, including a 7-6 record in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference games. They are currently on a four-game win streak.

So far this season, Mount St. Mary’s has gone 4-10 on the road, and their average scoring margin in these games is -3.4. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6. In their most recent game, they beat Quinnipiac by a score of 96-79.

Mount St. Mary’s has an overall ATS record of 10-13-1 this season and they are 5-8-1 against the spread on the road. As the favorite, the Mountaineers have gone just 5-7-1 vs. the spread this year and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 146 is higher than the average over/under line of 138.3 in Mount St. Mary’s games this season. So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Coming off a good offensive performance, Mount St. Mary’s’ offense scored 96 points against Quinnipiac. Their field goal percentage for the game was 53.3%, and they went 21/29 from the free-throw line. Dakota Leffew is leading the team in scoring at 18.3 points per contest. Deshayne Montgomery has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 10.8 going into the game.

On defense, Mount St. Mary’s is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.9 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.5 threes per game vs. Rider. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.1%.

Can Rider Pull Off a Home Win?

As a home underdog, Rider has gone 3-12 this season, and they have lost their last two road games by an average of 11.0 points. This season, the Broncs have gone 4-4 at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 5-5.

Through 24 games, Rider is 8-16, and they have lost three games in a row. In their last game, they lost to Marist by a score of 77-62. So far, the Broncs have gone 5-8 in Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference action.

As the underdog this season, Rider has an ATS record of 5-9-1. At home, their ATS mark is 4-4. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Broncs have gone 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, Rider has an ATS record of 1-2.

Today’s over/under line of 146 is right in line with the average over/under line in Rider’s games this season (142.2). So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average of 159 points.

In their latest game, Rider offense put up 62 points against Marist. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.6% and made 3 threes. In terms of offense, the Broncs have a season-long field goal percentage of 42%, putting them 327th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 261st in percentage and 322nd in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Rider is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 75.3 points per game (252nd). Against Marist in their most recent game, the Rider defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing Marist to hit 44% of their shots.