Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Cavaliers? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ACCN. The game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 131.5 points, with the Cavaliers being the favored team playing at home against the Bears.

MORGAN STATE BEARS VS VIRGINIA CAVALIERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Morgan State Bears +26.5

This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, December 27th.

WHY BET THE MORGAN STATE BEARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Cavaliers.
  • Even though we have Virginia winning straight-up, we like Morgan State at +26.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 131.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Do the Bears Stand a Chance in Charlottesville?

After playing 14 games, Morgan State has a 4-10 overall record. So far this season, the Bears have only played road games. Morgan State has a sub-.500 record against the spread, sitting at 2-5-1. However, in their last ten games this season, Morgan State has performed well vs. the spread, going 3-1.

Morgan State comes in with an over/under record of 5-3-0 through 14 games, with their games averaging a combined 152.5 points per game so far. When assessing the Bears’ performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-0, with their games averaging 164 points per game.

The Bears’ offense finished with 76 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 74.6 points per contest. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 254th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 311st in percentage and 309th in three-pointers made.

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 258th in the country, permitting 79.3 points per game. So far, the Morgan State defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.6 times per game (648th).

Do the Cavaliers Stand a Chance at Home?

Virginia enters their 12th game of the season with a record of 9-2. The Cavaliers have yet to win on the road, going 0-2, but are undefeated at home with a 7-0 record. As of now, Virginia holds a 5-4 ATS record heading into today’s game. In their last five games, the team is 3-2 vs. the spread.

Looking at their over/under performance through 11 games, Virginia has an over/under record of 3-6-0, with their games averaging 122 points per game on average. In the Cavaliers’ last five games, the combined scoring average stands at 123 points per game, accompanied by an over/under record of 2-3.

Against Memphis, the Virginia had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 65.6 points per game. They scored 54 points and posted a field goal percentage of 39.3% in the game. Leading the team in scoring is Reece Beekman, who is averaging 12.5 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Isaac McKneely also maintains a PPG average of 11.7 heading into game.

So far this season, the Virginia defense has been performing well, ranking 2nd in the country at 53.3 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. Memphis, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 77 points vs. Virginia.