Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Eagles? Tip off is at at 7:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at McDougald-McLendon Arena in Durham, NC. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 149 points, and North Carolina Central is favored by -10 to win at home against Morgan State.

MORGAN STATE BEARS VS NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL EAGLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Morgan State Bears +10

This game will be played at McDougald-McLendon Arena at 7:30 ET on Monday, February 5th.

WHY BET THE MORGAN STATE BEARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Eagles.
  • Even though we have North Carolina Central winning straight-up, we like Morgan State at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Morgan State Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Despite being just 7-15 overall, Morgan State has been better on the road than at home, going 1-12 on the road compared to 2-3 at home. The Bears’ average scoring margin on the road is -17.6 compared to -8.4 at home.

As the underdog, Morgan State is 2-14 this season, and they enter this game as a 10-point underdog. They are coming off a loss to Norfolk State, 83-73, and over their last 10 games on the road, they are 2-8.

As the underdog, Morgan State has gone 7-8-1 vs. the spread this season. On the road, their ATS mark sits at 5-7-1. Over their last three road games, the Bears are 2-0 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Morgan State games is 11-7. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 147.7 and today’s line of 149 is right in line with that. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 153 points and the over/under record for their last three games is 2-0. On the year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 149.

The Morgan State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 73 points vs. Norfolk State. Overall their field goal percentage was 49% while connecting on 6 threes. The top scorer for the Bears was Wynston Tabbs with 21 points, while Allen Udemadu also added 15 to the scoreboard.

Looking at the Morgan State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 78.8 points per game (297th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Morgan State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.3% this season.

Will the Eagles Make it Happen at Home?

North Carolina Central has been dominant at home this season, going 3-1 and outscoring opponents by an average of 6.8 points per game. They have won three straight at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 8-2.

Overall, the Eagles are 13-8 this season, including a 4-1 record in Mid-Eastern Conference play. They have won two straight games and are 5-2 this season when favored.

North Carolina Central has an ATS record of 11-5 this season and they have gone 3-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Eagles have an ATS mark of 6-3-1.

North Carolina Central’s over/under record for the season sits at 8-8 and their games have averaged 136.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 149 is higher than the average OU line in their games of 138.6. So far, 15 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s game. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 126 points and their OU record during that stretch is 1-1.

In contrast to their season average of 75.2 points per game, the North Carolina Central had a below average performance. They scored 69 points against Delaware State and had a field goal percentage of 44%. The team’s scoring leader is Ja’darius Harris, who holds an average of 16.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Fred Cleveland Jr. is averaging 15.1 points per game this season.

At present, the Eagles’ defense is nationally ranked 46th, allowing 66.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, North Carolina Central’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 21.9% this season.