Looking to win big? The Eagles and Leathernecks face off at 8:30 ET on ESPN+. The Leathernecks are hosting the game at Western Hall in Macomb, IL. Morehead State come into this Ohio Valley conference matchup as the -4.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 127 points.


The Pick: Western Illinois Leathernecks +4.5

This game will be played at Western Hall at 8:30 ET on Thursday, February 22nd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Leathernecks.
  • Not only will Western Illinois pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 127 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Are Morehead State Ready for a Road Win?

The Eagles are getting ready for today’s game with a 20-8 record, having lost their most recent game to Southern Indiana (80-73). When playing away, the Eagles are 8-7 this season, while at home they have an 8-1 record. Heading into their game against Western Illinois, Morehead State has a 15-8-1 ATS record. However, in their last ten games, Morehead State is just 1-4 vs. the spread.

Morehead State comes in with an over/under record of 12-12-0 through 28 games, with their games averaging a combined 139.3 points per game so far. The Eagles have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last three games, with their games averaging 153 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Eagles’ offense tallied 73 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.6 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Riley Minix, who is averaging 20.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jordan Lathon also maintains a PPG average of 15.8 heading into game.

In the current season, the Morehead State defense has excelled, sitting 15th in the nation by allowing 63.7 points per game. The Morehead State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 80 points and allowed Southern Indiana to connect on 10 threes.

Will the Leathernecks Secure A Victory as Home Underdogs?

As they prepare for their 28th game of the season, Western Illinois has an overall record of 17-10. In their last ten home games, Western Illinois has a 6-4 record, which includes games from last year. Western Illinois has a winning record against the spread, sitting above .500 at 13-10. When playing away from home, the Leathernecks have been particularly strong, going 11-5 vs. the spread. However, their performance at home vs. the spread has been less impressive, with a record of 2-5.

So far, Western Illinois’ games have averaged 132.1 points per game with the average over/under line being 137.8 points. Looking at the Leathernecks’ last three games, their over/under record is 0-3 with their games averaging 122 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Leathernecks’ offense tallied 68 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 69.2 points per game. Ryan Myers is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 13. Meanwhile, James Dent Jr. also brings a PPG average of 12 into the game.

At present, the Leathernecks’ defense is nationally ranked 19th, allowing 64.5 points per game. Western Illinois’ three-point defense is currently 9th in the country at 4.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 37.4% of their shots vs. Western Illinois.