Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Eagles and Skyhawks. The game is starting at 4:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Skyhawks at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center in Martin, TN. Get ready to place your bets! Morehead State is favored by -4 in this Ohio Valley conference contest against UT Martin. The game’s over/under currently sits at 146.5 points.


The Pick: UT Martin Skyhawks +4

This game will be played at Kathleen and Tom Elam Center at 4:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Skyhawks.
  • Not only will UT Martin pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Morehead State Offense Score Enough on the Road?

Morehead State enters this game as four-point favorites, and they have been the favorite in 15 of their 26 games this season. Their record as the favorite is 13-2, compared to 3-4 as the underdog.

On the road, the Eagles have gone 8-6 this season, and their average scoring margin is +1.1 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 7-3.

Morehead State has been solid against the spread this season, going 15-6-1. On the road, they are 8-5-1 vs. the spread, and in their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 3 road games, they are 1-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Morehead State’s games this season (137.2). So far, 15 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 136 points compared to their season average of 137.3 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Morehead State offense ended with 68 points against Little Rock. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 46.6% and made 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Riley Minix, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 20, while Jordan Lathon also maintains a PPG average of 15.9 leading up to the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Morehead State defense is giving up an average of 62.1 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Morehead State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.4% this season.

No Pressure for UT Martin as Home Dogs

UT Martin has been the underdog in 11 of their 26 games this season, and they have gone 4-7 in those matchups. They have been better at home this season, going 5-3 compared to 7-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +2.9 compared to -2.1 on the road.

UT Martin has won two games in a row, and they are 16-10 overall this season. In their last game, they beat Southern Indiana 77-68. They have gone 9-4 in Ohio Valley Conference games compared to 7-6 in non-conference matchups.

As the underdog, UT Martin has gone 6-5 vs. the spread this season and they are 3-5 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Skyhawks have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for UT Martin games is 8-14. So far, their games have averaged 154.6 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 155.3. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average scoring total of their games this season (154.6). In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 and those games have averaged 133 points.

In their recent game, the Skyhawks’ offense concluded with 77 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 80 points per contest. Offensively, the Skyhawks have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 246th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 157th in percentage and 93rd in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Skyhawks’ defense holds the 266th rank in the nation, allowing 76.1 points per game. In today’s game vs. Morehead State, the UT Martin defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, UT Martin made 21 free-throws vs. the Skyhawks.