Planning on watching today’s Eagles and Tigers game? Catch the action at Gentry Center in Nashville, TN, as the Tigers hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. Morehead State come into this Ohio Valley conference matchup as the -3.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 136.5 points.
MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES VS TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers +3.5
This game will be played at Gentry Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 1st.
WHY BET THE TENNESSEE STATE TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tigers.
- Not only will Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +3.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 136.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Will the Eagles Defense Show Up in Nashville?
Morehead State comes into this game with a 16-5 record and a three-game winning streak. They are 7-1 in Ohio Valley Conference play and 9-4 in non-conference games. On the road, they have gone 6-5 this season, and over their last 10 games away from home, they are 6-4.
So far, the Eagles have been favored in 10 games, going 9-1 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -0.9 points per game, compared to +13.7 at home.
Morehead State has been excellent against the spread this season, going 13-3-1. They have been even better vs. the spread when favored, going 9-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 7-3-1 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 9-1.
This season, the over/under record for Morehead State games is 9-8, and the average scoring total in their games is 139.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (138.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 138 points.
Coming off their recent game, the Morehead State offense tallied 64 points in a matchup against Western Illinois. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.1%, and they made 3 threes. Offensively, the Eagles have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 95th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 191st in percentage and 49th in three-pointers made.
So far this season, the Morehead State defense has been performing well, ranking 9th in the country at 62.5 points allowed per contest. The Morehead State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 50 points and allowed Western Illinois to connect on 3 threes.
Can Tennessee State Pull Off a Home Win?
As the underdog, Tennessee State will look to extend their four-game winning streak when they host Morehead State. The Tigers have a record of 12-9 this season, including a 5-3 mark in Ohio Valley Conference games. They are 4-2 at home this year, and their average scoring margin at home is +7.0.
Most recently, Tennessee State defeated Eastern Illinois by a score of 64-60. Over their last 10 games at home, the Tigers have gone 8-2. For the season, they have been the underdog in eight games, going 3-5.
As the underdog this season, Tennessee State has gone 3-5 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark stands at 7-10. At home, the Tigers are 3-3 vs. the spread this year and 3-0 ATS in their last three home games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Tennessee State has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 136.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Tennessee State’s games this year (147). Their over/under record for the season is 7-10 and their last three games have finished with an average of 125 points compared to the season average of 144.4.
The Tennessee State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 64 points vs. Eastern Illinois. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.3% while connecting on 4 threes. Offensively, the Tigers have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 217th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 197th in percentage and 210th in three-pointers made.
On the defensive side, Tennessee State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 70.7 points per game. The Tennessee State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed Eastern Illinois to connect on 2 threes.