Looking to win big? The Eagles and Knights face off at 6:30 ET on ESPN+. The Knights are hosting the game at Freedom Hall in Louisville, KY. The over/under for this non-conference contest is set at 135 points, with the Knights being the favored team playing at home against the Eagles.
MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES VS BELLARMINE KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Morehead State Eagles +4.5
This game will be played at Freedom Hall at 6:30 ET on Monday, November 20th.
WHY BET THE MOREHEAD STATE EAGLES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 80-67 in favor of the Eagles.
- Not only will Morehead State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 135 points, and we like the over with a projected 147 points.
Can the Eagles Pull Off a Win at Louisville?
Through their first four games, Morehead State has a record of 1-3. In their three road games, the Eagles are winless, while they are 1-0 at home. As for Morehead State’s performance against the spread, they come into today’s game with a 1-3 ATS record. On the road, Morehead State has yet to cover the spread this season at 0-3, but over their last ten road games, they have a 5-4-1 ATS record.
Through four games, Morehead State has an over/under record of 3-1-0 with their games averaging a combined 146.8 points per game so far. The Eagles’ last five games have finished with a combined 70 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.
Most recently, the Morehead State offense finished with just 51 points vs. Penn State. For the game, they hit 4/18 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 38.1%. Coming into the game, the Eagles offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 30%. On average, they get up 23.2 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14 made free-throws.
Coming into today’s game, the Morehead State defense is giving up an average of 74.4 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.8 threes per game vs. Bellarmine. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 28.2%.
Can Bellarmine Grab a Win at Home?
Bellarmine comes into today’s game against Morehead State with a 1-3 overall record. In their previous three home games, including one from last year, they are 1-2. As we assess Bellarmine’s performance versus the spread, they currently stand at 1-3. In the previous season, Bellarmine had a 4-7 record vs. the spread in their home games leading into their first home game of this season.
In four games, Bellarmine comes in with an over/under mark of 3-1-0, with their games averaging 148.5 points per game. In their most recent three games, the Knights’ over/under record is 1-2, with their games averaging 65 points per game.
In their latest game, Bellarmine’s offense looked good, scoring 85 points against Bowling Green. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 58.3% and made 18/23 free throws. Ben Johnson is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Peter Suder brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.
At this time, the Knights’ defense is positioned 157th in the country, permitting 78.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Bowling Green, the Falcons finished with a field goal percentage of 37% and a total of 67 points vs. Bellarmine.