The Canadiens and Senators are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Senators will host the game at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON. The over/under for this matchup is currently set at 6.5 goals and the Senators are the favorite to win at home vs. the Canadiens.
MONTREAL CANADIENS VS OTTAWA SENATORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ottawa Senators -1.5
This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.
WHY BET THE OTTAWA SENATORS:
- Despite being 1.5 goal underdogs, we predict the Canadiens to come out on top with a final score of 4-3.
- We like the Canadiens on the moneyline (+147)
- The Canadiens are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Can the Canadiens Grab a Win on the Road?
When playing on the road this season, Montreal has gone 10-7-4, and they have won two straight games as the underdog. Their overall record is 19-18-7, and they are in 13th place in the Eastern Conference.
Over their last ten games, the Canadiens have gone 4-6, and they are 2-1 in their last three games. Against teams from the Eastern Conference, Montreal has gone 10-12 this season.
Montreal enters the game with a puck line record of 28-16 and an average scoring margin of -.6 goals per game. So far, the Canadiens have 14 one-goal wins and 12 losses by multiple goals.
As the underdog, Montreal’s puck line record is 28-12, and they have gone 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten road games. Overall, the Canadiens have a puck line mark of 15-6 on the road.
This season, Montreal’s games are averaging 6.2 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.4. The Canadiens currently have an over/under record of 22-21-1.
Montreal has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team also performed well vs the puck line at 3-0.
On the offensive side, the Canadiens are scoring an 2.7 goals per game this season, ranking 27th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 27th in the league. The Montreal offense is ranked 19th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 13th in the NHL.
Montreal’s leading scorer is Cole Caufield. So far, he has 14 goals which is 68th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 19 assists so far.
Defensively, the Senators are currently 29th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31.2 shots per game against Ottawa. They also are 26th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.
Goalie Cayden Primeau comes into the game having made nine starts this season. So far, his record is 4-4 and he has a save percentage of 0.398%.
Is A Home Victory Likely for the Favored Senators?
At home this season, the Senators have gone 11-11-0, and they are 9-8-0 when favored. In the Eastern Conference standings, Ottawa is currently 16th with 30 points and a record of 15-24-0.
Over their last ten games, the Senators have gone 3-7, and they have lost four of their last five games. In the Atlantic Division, Ottawa is in 8th place with a record of 6-6.
When favored, the Senators have gone just 6-11 vs. the puck line this season, and they have dropped their last seven games vs. the puck line. Ottawa comes into the game with an average scoring margin of -.4 goals per game.
So far, the Senators have 11 wins by multiple goals and have lost 19 games by more than one goal. At home, Ottawa has gone just 9-13 vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin is at .0 goals per game.
For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Ottawa is 7.1. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.6. The Senators come in with an over/under record of 22-14-3.
In their last three road games, Montreal has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
Offensively, the Senators come into the game at 3.3 goals per contest placing 19th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 24th position in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Senators offense is 22nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 27th in the NHL.
Ottawa will be looking for a good game from Brady Tkachuk who leads the team in scoring with 18 goals, ranking 29th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 16 assists so far.
Defensively, the Senators come into the season ranked 29th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.2 shots per game against Ottawa. For the season, they are ranked 26th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.
Heading into this matchup vs. Montreal, goalie Joonas Korpisalo has started 23 games in this season. His current record is 8-15, and his save percentage stands at 0.816%.