Planning on watching today’s Bobcats and Hornets game? Catch the action at The Hornets Nest in Sacramento, CA, as the Hornets hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 137.5 points, and Sacramento State is favored to win by -1 at home vs. Montana State.


The Pick: Sacramento State Hornets -1

This game will be played at The Hornets Nest at 9:00 ET on Thursday, January 25th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Not only will Sacramento State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Will Montana State Secure A Victory as Road Underdogs?

Montana State has struggled on the road this season, going just 2-5 away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -11.1, and they have lost their last two road games.

Overall, the Bobcats are 9-10 this season, including a 4-2 record in Big Sky Conference play. So far, they have been the underdog in 10 games, going 3-7.

Montana State has an ATS record of 6-10 this season and their record vs. the spread when they are the underdog is 4-6. On the road, the Bobcats have gone 3-4 vs. the spread this year and their last 10 road ATS record is also 4-6. As the underdog, Montana State’s ATS mark is 4-6 over their last 10 games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Montana State games is 10-6 and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.5). Over their last three games, Montana State’s games have averaged 160 points compared to their season average of 145.9. Currently, their last three games have gone 3-0 OU.

The Bobcats’ offense finished with 77 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 74.3 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is Brian Goracke, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15.4, while Robert Ford also carries a PPG average of 14.5 into the game.

So far, the Bobcats’ defense is ranked 212nd in the country at 74.1 points per contest. Against Idaho State in their most recent game, the Montana State defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Idaho State to hit 58% of their shots.

Will the Hornets Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?

After losing their last game to Northern Arizona by a score of 70-61, Sacramento State will look to get back on track as they host Montana State. With a record of 6-13, the Hornets have gone 2-3 in their five games as the favorite and are currently favored by 1 point.

So far this season, Sacramento State has gone 3-4 at home, and they have won their last three games at home. On the other hand, they are just 1-9 on the road this season, and they have lost their last six games away from home. Overall, the Hornets have gone 2-4 in Big Sky Conference play.

At home this season, Sacramento State has an ATS record of 2-4-1. Overall, their ATS mark for the year is 5-10-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hornets are 3-6-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Sacramento State games is 8-9. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 137 points, which is right at today’s over/under line of 137.5. Over their last 10 games, the average scoring total is 134 points. Today’s line is similar to the average over/under line in their games this year (140.1).

In their recent matchup, the Sacramento State offense ended with 61 points against Northern Arizona. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 36.7% and made 4 threes. Austin Patterson led the scoring for the Hornets, contributing 16 points. Additionally, Duncan Powell chipped in with 13 points.

On the defensive side, Sacramento State is currently hovering around the NCAA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 71.9 points per game. Against Northern Arizona in their most recent game, the Sacramento State defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Northern Arizona to hit 37% of their shots.