Planning on watching today’s Bobcats and Lumberjacks game? Catch the action at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome in Flagstaff, AZ, as the Lumberjacks hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. Montana State is favored by -2 in this Big Sky conference contest against Northern Arizona. The game’s over/under currently sits at 147.5 points.

MONTANA STATE BOBCATS VS NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +2

This game will be played at J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome at 4:00 ET on Saturday, February 10th.

WHY BET THE NORTHERN ARIZONA LUMBERJACKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Lumberjacks.
  • Not only will Northern Arizona pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Can Montana State Lock in a Road Win?

Montana State enters this game with an 11-13 record, which includes a two-game losing streak. In Big Sky play, the Bobcats are 6-5 compared to 5-8 in non-conference action.

This season, Montana State is 4-3 when favored, and the team has been favored in seven of its 24 games. On the road, the Bobcats are just 3-7, and their average scoring margin is -7.6 points per game.

On the season, Montana State has gone 10-11 against the spread. As the favorite, they are just 2-5 vs. the spread. On the road, the Bobcats have an ATS mark of 6-4, and over their last three road games, they are 3-0 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Montana State’s games this season (143.2). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 142 points.

In their latest game, Montana State offense put up 70 points against Northern Colorado. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.2% and made 10 threes. Robert Ford is leading the team in scoring at 15.7 points per contest. Brian Goracke has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.8 going into the game.

At present, the Bobcats’ defense is nationally ranked 221st, allowing 74.1 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.3 threes per game vs. Northern Arizona. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.6%.

Will Northern Arizona Come Through as Home Underdogs?

After losing their last game to Montana by a score of 94-66, the Lumberjacks will look to get back on track. On the season, Northern Arizona has an overall record of 10-14, including a 3-7 mark in Big Sky play. So far, the team has gone 5-3 at home compared to a 5-11 record on the road.

As the underdog, the Lumberjacks have gone just 4-13, while they are 6-1 when favored. This season, the team has been the underdog in 17 of their 24 games. Over their last ten games at home, Northern Arizona has gone 6-4.

As the underdog this season, Northern Arizona has gone 7-10 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 4-4 and in their last 10 games as the underdog, their ATS mark is 3-7. Over their last three home games, the Lumberjacks are 1-2 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Northern Arizona sits at 10-13-1, and the average point total in their games is 143.6. Today’s over/under line of 147.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (144.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-0-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

The Northern Arizona offense is coming off a game in which they scored 66 points vs. Montana. Overall their field goal percentage was 45.3% while connecting on 4 threes. Trenton McLaughlin is leading the team in scoring at 16.2 points per contest. Carson Basham has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 11 going into the game.

At this time, the Lumberjacks’ defense is positioned 275th in the country, permitting 76.5 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.8 threes per game vs. Montana State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.3%.