Planning on watching today’s Bobcats and Grizzlies game? Catch the action at Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, MT, as the Grizzlies hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. This Big Sky conference matchup has an over/under of 146 points, and Montana is favored to win by -7 at home vs. Montana State.

MONTANA STATE BOBCATS VS MONTANA GRIZZLIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Montana Grizzlies -7

This game will be played at Dahlberg Arena at 9:00 ET on Saturday, February 17th.

WHY BET THE MONTANA GRIZZLIES:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Grizzlies.
  • Not only will Montana pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -7.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Montana State enters this game as a 7-point underdog, and they have gone 5-9 in games as the underdog this season. The Bobcats are coming off a 76-71 loss to Northern Arizona, and they have lost three straight games to fall to 11-14 on the year.

On the road, Montana State is just 3-8 this season, and their average scoring differential is -7.4 points per game. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Bobcats have gone 3-7, and they are currently on a three-game losing streak.

Montana State has an ATS record of 10-12 this season. On the road, they are 6-5 vs. the spread. As the underdog, the Bobcats have an 8-6 record vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Montana State has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 146 is similar to the average over/under line in Montana State’s games this season (143.4). So far, their over/under record is 12-10. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

The Montana State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. Northern Arizona. Overall their field goal percentage was 40% while connecting on 7 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Robert Ford who comes into today’s matchup averaging 15.9. Brian Goracke also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.6.

The Bobcats’ defense is presently ranked 222nd nationally, allowing an average of 74.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Montana State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.9% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.0% this season.

Will the Grizzlies Win at Dahlberg Arena?

Montana will look to bounce back after a tough 87-71 loss to Northern Colorado. The Grizzlies are 16-9 overall, including a 6-3 record at home. Montana has been favored in 15 of their games this season, going 11-4.

So far, the Grizzlies have a scoring differential of +9.1 points per game at home compared to -3.8 on the road. Over their last 10 games at home, Montana is 7-3.

Montana has an ATS record of 13-9 this season and they are 5-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Grizzlies have gone 5-5 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 146 is lower than the average over/under line in Montana’s games this year (143). This year, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 153 points.

Compared to their season average of 76.8 points per game, Montana struggled in their previous game. Against Northern Colorado, the Grizzlies scored 71 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39.7%. Offensively, the Grizzlies hold a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, placing them 63rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 149th in terms of percentage and 200th in three-pointers made.

In terms of defense, Montana is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 71.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 5.6 threes per game vs. Montana State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.0%.