A six-game home winning streak is on the line for the UCLA Bruins (7-1), who will be 14-point favorites when they welcome the Montana Grizzlies (5-3) to Pauley Pavilion. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 153.5 points and it will air on Pac-12 Network at 11 p.m. ET on Wednesday, December 6, 2017.
Montana Grizzlies vs. UCLA Bruins Betting Odds
Both teams dismantled their last opponent. The Bruins defeated the Detroit Titans 106-73, while the Grizzlies beat the CSUN Matadors 86-68.
Montana dominated every stat category in the game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 40.6 (above their season average of 32.6) and a turnover percentage of 14.5 (better than their season average of 16.1). For those same stats, CSUN was 25.8 and 20.5, respectively. Meanwhile, UCLA played a flawless game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1 (above their season average of 30.5) and a free throw rate of 0.264 (matching their season average). For those same stats, Detroit was 15.0 and 0.123, respectively. Jaylen Hands had a good game for UCLA, contributing 23 points and nine rebounds. Sayeed Pridgett was a key piece for Montana with 20 points and 12 rebounds.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, UCLA should have a noteworthy advantage. Dating back to the 2016-17 season, the Bruins offense ranks third in that metric at 0.587, while the Montana defense ranks 270th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.522). Also, the Grizzlies rank 33rd in turnover percentage (16.4 percent), while the Bruins rank 330th in opponents’ turnover percentage (16.0 percent).
Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Grizzlies games, with an even split between overs and unders. Montana has a solid 5-3 straight up (SU) record, but they are just 2-4 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Bruins have typically finished over the total (57.1 percent). UCLA has a phenomenal 7-1 SU record, but they have a hard time covering the spread (3-5 ATS).
Montana Grizzlies vs. UCLA Bruins ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – UCLA, ATS Winner – Montana, O/U – Under
Betting Notes (2016-Present):
Montana ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (17.2) while UCLA ranks 279th (24.0).
The Bruins rank first in assists per game (20.4) while the Grizzlies rank 204th (12.9).
Montana ranks 32nd in steals allowed per game (5.0) while UCLA ranks 144th (6.2).
The Bruins rank third in blocks allowed per game (1.8) while the Grizzlies rank 232nd (4.2).
UCLA ranks 30th in rebounds per game (39.2) while Montana ranks 246th (34.0).