Montana Grizzlies at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks ATS Prediction 12/28/17

 
Thursday, 12/28/2017 at 08:30 pm MONTANA (8-5) at N ARIZONA (3-11)
Expanded Matchup Bet Now Results Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P FG% FT% 3PT% FG% FT% 3PT%
575MONTANA 142 73.9 69.2 8-5 7-4-0 7-4-0 43.8% 68.4% 29.3% 44.6% 74.4% 39%
576N ARIZONA +11 66.1 80.1 3-11 4-6-0 6-4-0 39.4% 72.7% 30.1% 48% 73.7% 35.8%

Last Updated: 2017-12-28

The Montana Grizzlies (7-5) visit Walkup Skydome to challenge the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks (3-10). The Grizzlies are 10.5-point favorites and can put an end to a five-game road losing streak. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 143 points and action gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, December 28, 2017.

Montana Grizzlies vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Betting Odds

In their last outing, the Lumberjacks defeated the Jacksonville Dolphins, 83-72, while the Grizzlies lost a winnable game to the Washington Huskies, 66-63.

The Lumberjacks, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.434, had a phenomenal mark of 0.667, while the Dolphins had a free throw rate of 0.209 (below the 0.281 mark opponents have averaged against Northern Arizona this season). Montana, on the other hand, had an offensive rebounding percentage of 48.8 (above their season average of 35.0). JoJo Anderson led the way for Northern Arizona, recording 26 points, five rebounds and five assists. Meanwhile, Ahmaad Rorie was a key piece for Montana with 19 points and seven rebounds.

This has potential to be an error-filled game for the offense of Northern Arizona. Northern Arizona ranks 346th in the NCAA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 24.9 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Montana forces the 12th-most turnovers in the NCAA (24.9 percent). Also, the Grizzlies are among the NCAA’s elite on the offensive backboards, ranking 26th in offensive rebounding percentage (36.3 percent). The Lumberjacks, meanwhile, rank 283rd in defensive rebounding percentage (68.4 percent).

Of the Grizzlies’ 10 games that accepted bets, six have finished over the projected point total. Montana comes into the game with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS).

Much like Montana, Lumberjacks games also have a tendency to finish over the total (55.6 percent). Further, Northern Arizona is 3-10 SU and 4-5 ATS.

Jamar Akoh has been playing at a high level as of late for Montana, averaging 14.2 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks over the last five games.

The Grizzlies won the lone game between these two teams last year, 76-59. Montana’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Northern Arizona. The Grizzlies had a rate of 0.204, while the Lumberjacks posted a mark of 0.088. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.

Montana Grizzlies at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks ATS Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Montana, ATS Winner – Montana, O/U – Over

Notes

Betting Notes:

Montana ranks ninth in assists allowed per game (9.9) while Northern Arizona ranks 219th (17.0).

The Grizzlies average 7.6 steals per game, which ranks 55th in the nation. The Lumberjacks rank 178th in steals allowed per game (8.7).

Montana ranks 48th in blocks per game (4.6) while Northern Arizona ranks 132nd (2.9).

The Grizzlies rank first in three pointers allowed per game (13.8) while the Lumberjacks rank 173rd (23.4).

Montana ranks 41st in rebounds allowed per game (31.8) while Northern Arizona ranks 179th (36.6).

Northern Arizona is 1-0 ATS at home, while Montana is 3-4 ATS on the road.

The total has gone over in 1 of the Lumberjacks’ 1 home games, while 4 of the Grizzlies’ 7 road games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Lumberjacks are 1-2.

In their last five games, Montana has 4 overs and 1 under, while Northern Arizona has 2 unders and 1 over.

The Grizzlies’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 9.2, up from 3.6 for the season.

During their last five games, the Lumberjacks have scored an average of 69.2 points per game (3.3 above their season average) and allowed an average of 76.2 points per game (3.4 below their season average).

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