MLB Picks: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Angels

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Chase Anderson (2-1, 2.82 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (31-33) take on Hector Santiago (4-3, 2.59 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (33-32) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a two-game series at Chase Field. Action begins at 9:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Jun. 17 and can be seen on FSN-W and FSN-AZ.

Anderson pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out two and walking one in a 1-0 win over the Giants. Santiago went 5.2 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out six and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Athletics in his most recent start. Mike Trout (.298, 48 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.

Arizona is a -131 favorite against Los Angeles and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Diamondbacks have an overall money line of +257 and a record as the favorite of 10-9. Arizona is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 6-4 SU record in its last ten outings. The Diamondbacks have no trouble scoring as they lead the NL in offense with 4.6 runs per game. Arizona is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 57 bases. Arizona’s pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 3.3 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.5.

In games where it is the underdog, Los Angeles has a 12-15 record and an overall money line of -369. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 1-4 record, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Angels have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 3.9 runs per game by averaging 2.7 in those contests. Los Angeles is excellent at not striking out with just 7.2 per game, ranking fifth in the AL.

The Diamondbacks have a 7-8 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Santiago takes the mound. Anderson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Angels, who have a 24-27 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over

Notes

When leading after 7 innings, Arizona is 13-6, while Los Angeles is 16-13.

Having scored one run in their last game, the Diamondbacks are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Angels have a 12-0 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.

When outhit, the Diamondbacks and the Angels both have records of 7-23.

Arizona ranks in the top half of the league at 13th when it comes to home runs, hitting 59 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 68.

Ranking first in hits, Arizona has earned 9.37 per game this season. Los Angeles ranks 14th with 7.92 hits.

Ranking 24th, Los Angeles is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.682). Arizona ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .721.

The Angels are 14-27 when they allow at least one home run. The Diamondbacks perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 15-28 record.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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