MLB Division Futures for the 2018 Season

Date | AuthorAdam Burke

Last Updated: 2018-03-06

Now is not the time to be betting Major League Baseball division futures for the most part. As we head into the 2018 season, four of the six divisions are all but decided. Sports betting is like investing in any other market. Sometimes there are opportunities to buy and sell and other times those opportunities just aren’t there and you have to hold off. When it comes to betting the divisions, that is pretty much the case.

But, for those are that are looking for value or are looking to hold some long-term investments, there may be something for you as we break down the divisions for 2018 with odds from BetOnline Sportsbook as of March 6:

 

AL East

Baltimore +1600

Boston +165

New York +100

Tampa Bay +1400

Toronto +800

The Yankees should win this division, but the Red Sox are the reigning champs. Nobody else really has a chance to win the AL East, so it is either Yankees, Red Sox, or bust. Holding an even money bet for about six months is a tough pill to swallow, but New York is the favorite here for a reason and should win this division based on what returns and what was acquired over the winter.

 

AL Central

Chicago +3300

Cleveland -500

Detroit +3300

Kansas City +1000

Minnesota +650

The Twins are the only team with any kind of shot to unseat the Indians as the AL Central champs, but it is a pretty small shot and not worth the +650 price. The only play here is to hold the Indians at 5x to win 1x, but you might have a chance to get this at a better number as the season goes along if the Indians struggle out of the gate again. The -500 line implies about an 83.33 percent probability the Indians win the division. That looks low to me, so there is value, but holding that bet is a challenge.

 

AL West

Houston -260

Los Angeles +500

Oakland +2000

Seattle +800

Texas +1600

The Astros are heavy chalk to win this division and they are the most complete team in baseball. A -260 price implies a 72.22 percent likelihood that Houston wins the division. Like the Indians, I believe this price is a bit low. I’d say Houston is more like 80 percent to win the league, with the Angels in need of a lot of good fortune with the health of their pitchers. The Astros are a good bet if you can stomach tying up those funds until September.

 

NL East

Atlanta +1400

Miami +5000

New York +300

Philadelphia +1000

Washington -250

The Nationals should win this division, but the other three teams (Miami barely exists) are getting better. The Mets probably need a year of being healthy on the pitching side before they are a factor. The Phillies would be an interesting long shot at 10/1 if they added some more starting pitching, but there really isn’t much value to go around in this division.

 

NL Central

Chicago -220

Cincinnati +2000

Milwaukee +500

Pittsburgh +2000

St. Louis +500

This is the first division in which we see some value. The Cardinals at +500 are a very intriguing price. The Cubs don’t seem to be as good on paper as they have been in past seasons and the Cardinals did make some good additions over the winter. With young pitching graduating to the big leagues and a really strong group of position players, the +500 price is worth a bet. With the option to play .2 units to win a full unit or a half-unit to win 2.5 units, this is a good position to hold over the warmer months.

 

NL West

Arizona +650

Colorado +700

Los Angeles -225

San Diego +2000

San Francisco +700

This is another division in which there is some value on the second favorite. Arizona’s pitching staff was exceptional last season and will get another boost thanks to the humidor that has been installed at Chase Field. Arizona also has 81 games to get used to the new conditions, while visiting teams will play no more than 10 games in the new atmosphere. The Dodgers are a little bit thinner from a pitching standpoint and are also coming off of a deep postseason run. The World Series hangover is typically more of a thing for the winner, but for the Dodgers and their starting staff full of injury concerns, it is a real consideration.

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