MLB Betting Odds and Picks: Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds

cubs reds mlb picks

Kyle Hendricks (2-2, 3.96 ERA) and Mike Leake (3-4, 4.29 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Chicago Cubs (32-27) and the Cincinnati Reds (28-32) at Wrigley Field. The Reds won the last game 5-4 and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jun. 13 and can be seen on FOX.

Hendricks pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs (one unearned) and striking out four in a 6-3 win over the Nationals. Kris Bryant (.282, 34 Rs, 7 HRs, 35 RBIs, 5 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. When pitching against the Cubs, Leake is 8-2 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, and 81 strikeouts. Todd Frazier (.290, 44 Rs, 18 HRs, 39 RBIs, 7 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Reds, going 2 for 5 yesterday with three runs, one home run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.

Chicago is a -142 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is unavailable as of now. The Cubs have an overall money line of +296 and a record as the favorite of 20-14. Chicago is an impressive 3-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Chicago is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 46 bases. Turning to the pitchers, opposing offenses that come to Wrigley Field have been stifled by the Cubs, who have a team ERA of only 3.12 at home. The Cubs are the second-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 7.8 hits per game to their opponents this season.

As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -643 and a disappointing record of 10-22 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-4 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Reds have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 5.2 during that stretch. The Reds are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 59 stolen bases. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Reds are fifth in the NL with an average of 8.3 hits allowed per game.

The Cubs have controlled the season series, 5-2. The Cubs have a 27-22 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they’ll be facing when Leake takes the mound. Hendricks (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 20-24 record against right-handed starting pitchers.

Predictions: SU Winner – CHC

Notes

This season, the Reds hold an even 13-13 record against NL Central teams. The Cubs sit at 15-14 against these opponents.

For the 16th time this season, the Cubs registered at least two errors in a game.

When the Cubs play into extra innings, they have a 6-3 record. The Reds are 2-4 when their games exceed nine innings.

The Reds are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 11 strikeouts. The Cubs have a record of 7-14 when they are struck out that many times or more.

When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 20-8. The Cubs have a 20-3 record when outhitting opponents.

Both falling in the bottom half of the league based on total runs this season, Chicago ranks 18th with 244 runs and Cincinnati is 16th with 248.

Chicago and Cincinnati both rank in the top five of the league in walks. Chicago sits at third with 205 this season and Cincinnati ranks fifth with 196.

When the Cubs hit at least one home run, they are 21-13. When the Reds hit at least one homer, they have a 24-17 record.

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Aaron Ryan

Aaron Ryan has been in the sportswriting biz since the late-90s, and he has worked side by side with some of the best and brightest in sports gambling. Always searching for the best trends in sports, Andrew uses his brilliant math mind to his advantage to beat the books.

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