Missouri vs. No. 6 Georgia College Football Betting Pick 11/9/19

Date | AuthorBTB Staff

Last Updated: 2019-11-05

Two schools that prefer to feature their running games, Head Coach Barry Odom and the Missouri Tigers (+17) are gearing up to face off against the No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs (-17) at Sanford Stadium. This crucial SEC matchup starts at 7:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN.

Missouri vs. No. 6 Georgia Betting Odds 11/9/2019

Georgia is giving up 17 points in this SEC matchup. The Tigers are currently being given +780 moneyline odds while the Bulldogs are -1400. The over/under is set at 47 points, and if one school gets out in front early, it would probably produce a solid live betting opportunity.

The Tigers are 5-3 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against conference opponents. The Bulldogs are 7-1 SU overall and 4-1 SU in conference play. The disappointing Tigers are 4-4 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 10.2 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-6.

The Bulldogs have gained 2.0 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and also has an O/U record of 2-6.

When these two teams faced each other last year, Georgia won by a couple of touchdowns 43-29.

Georgia enters this one on a two-game losing streak while Missouri has won its last two in a row. The Tigers are hoping to bounce back after a 29-7 defeat to Kentucky on October 26. the Tigers completed 14-of-29 passes for 164 yards and one touchdown. Kelly Bryant went 10-for-19 for 130 yards and one touchdown while Taylor Powell completed four-of-10 for 34 yards. Larry Rountree III (58 yards on 15 rush attempts) mounted the ground attack. Jonathan Nance (three receptions, 23 yards) and Dawson Downing (three catches, 11 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

The Georgia Dawgs just earned a 24-17 win over Florida. The defensive secondary allowed the Gators to air it out for 257 yards and two touchdowns. Freddie Swain was a bright spot in the defeat for Florida, posting 91 yards on eight catches. For Georgia, Jake Fromm completed 20-of-30 passes for 279 yards and two touchdowns. D’Andre Swift (86 yards on 25 rush attempts) handled the running game as Lawrence Cager (seven receptions, 132 yards, one TD) and Herrien (four catches, 46 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Each of these squads has a nearly identical (57-43) run-pass ratio on the season. The Tigers have produced 184 rush yards/game (including 176 per game versus Southeastern opponents) and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Dawgs are averaging 222 rushing yards per contest (218 in conference) and have 18 total rush TDs.

If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then the Dawgs may hold an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, as their backfield has produced 5.7 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 2.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Tigers have recorded 4.4 yards per carry while allowing 3.7 YPC to opponents.

The Tigers have logged 244 yards/game in the air overall (215 per game against conference opposition) and have 14 passing scores so far. The Dawgs have produced 240 pass yards per game (210.6 against SEC competition) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Missouri appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 137 yards and pass for 145 yards per game. Georgia has allowed 77.6 rushing yards per game and 190.5 to opponents in the air. The Tigers are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.82 to opponents, while the Dawgs have allowed a 4.6 ANY/A.

Bryant is up to 1,705 pass yards on the year. He’s completed 127-of-199 attempts with 13 passing touchdowns and only four interceptions. Bryant’s got an 8.06 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.35 over the last two games.

In the host locker room, Jake Fromm has recorded 1,650 yards, 11 TDs and three INTs. Fromm’s ANY/A stands at 8.75 for the season and 8.43 over his last two games.

Missouri Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogs NCAA Tip

SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Georgia, O/U – Under

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Tigers offense has recorded eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have accounted for five such plays.

The Missouri defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia has given up five such plays.

The Missouri offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Georgia has created 13 such runs.

The Tigers defense has allowed 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bulldogs have given up three such runs.

The Georgia defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 18 times this season. Missouri has produced 13 sacks.

As a team, Missouri has averaged 4.4 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 3.8 over its last two.

Georgia has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.4 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Georgia is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Missouri’s last game was 43.5. The under cashed in the team’s 29-7 loss to Kentucky.

In its last three games, Missouri is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Georgia’s last outing was set at 48. The under cashed in the team’s 24-17 win over Florida.

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