The Southeastern Conference Tourney contest between the Missouri Tigers (15-16, 7-11 SEC) and the Texas A&M Aggies (16-14, 10-8 SEC) will take place at Bridgestone Arena. Missouri opened as a 2-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 124 points. Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 12, 2020, and it can be seen on SEC Network.
Missouri Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies Free Preview
In the Tigers’ last outing, they dismantled the Alabama Crimson Tide, 69-50, comfortably covering as 2-point favorites. Dru Smith was Missouri’s leading scorer with 17 points on 4-for-11 shooting. Missouri dominated nearly every stat category in the game. They had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 46.9 (above their season average of 30.9) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.462 (below their season average of 0.470). Alabama recorded marks of 27.0 and 0.348, respectively, for those same stats. The two teams combined to put up 119 points, which came in well under the projected point total of 151.5.
The Aggies come in on a high note after defeating the Arkansas Razorbacks in their last game, 77-69, as 2.5-point underdogs. Texas A&M rallied around Wendell Mitchell, who led the team in scoring with 25 points on 8-for-13 shooting. Texas A&M played a nearly flawless game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 42.9 (above their season average of 30.9) and a free throw rate of 0.358 (above their season average of 0.276). Arkansas had marks of 16.1 and 0.216, respectively, for those same stats. Combined, the two teams scored 146 points, which came in over the O/U total of 136.
Of Missouri’s 31 games, 17 have finished under the O/U total, while 17 of Texas A&M’s 30 games have finished under the O/U total. Both teams have very similar records straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS). The Tigers are 15-16 SU and 15-16 ATS, while the Aggies are 16-14 SU and 14-16 ATS.
Half-court execution will be at a premium when two of the country’s slowest-paced teams battle. Texas A&M currently ranks 334th in possessions per game (65.1) and Missouri is 281st (66.9). Moreover, the 49th-ranked defense of the Tigers (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.463) will clash against the 324th-ranked offense of the Aggies (effective field goal percentage of 0.464).
Missouri vs. Texas A&M Odds Prediction
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Missouri, ATS Winner – Texas A&M, O/U – Over
The Tigers average 3.2 blocks per game, which ranks 118th in the NCAA. The Aggies rank 166th in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
Missouri ranks 62nd in three pointers allowed per game (19.4) while Texas A&M ranks 307th (27.8).
The Tigers rank 24th in assists allowed per game (10.3) while the Aggies rank 232nd (14.5).
Missouri ranks 102nd in steals per game (6.7) while Texas A&M ranks 153rd in steals allowed per game (6.7).
Texas A&M is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in its last five games.
Over its last five outings, Missouri is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
The Aggies have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. On the season, Texas A&M has lost by an average of 2.0 points.
During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 65.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 64.4 points per game (0.8 below their season average).