Looking to win big? The Tigers and Rebels face off at 8:30 ET on SECN. The Rebels are hosting the game at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford, MS. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points, and Ole Miss is favored to win by -12 at home vs. Missouri.


The Pick: Missouri Tigers +12

This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 17th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Rebels.
  • Even though we have Ole Miss winning straight-up, we like Missouri at +12.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Do the Tigers Stand a Chance on the Road?

Missouri enters this game as a 12-point underdog, and they have gone 1-9 as the underdog this season. They have lost 11 straight games, and their record stands at 8-16 overall.

On the road, the Tigers have gone 2-6 this season, and they have lost six straight games away from home. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of -6.5 points per game on the road.

As the underdog this season, Missouri has gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 6-18, and they are 4-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers have a mark of 3-7 and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three games as the underdog.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri games is 11-13. On average, their games have finished with 146.3 points, which is lower than the average over/under line of 148.2. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 142.5. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 131 points.

Compared to their season average of 72 points per game, Missouri struggled in their previous game. Against Mississippi State, the Tigers scored 51 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 34%. Sean East is leading the team in scoring at 15.6 points per contest. Tamar Bates has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14 going into the game.

At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 227th, allowing 74.3 points per game. In their previous game vs. Mississippi State, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 34% and a total of 75 points vs. Missouri.

Do the Rebels Stand a Chance at Home?

After starting the season 18-3, Ole Miss has now lost three straight games, including a 75-63 loss to Kentucky in their last game. Overall, the Rebels are 18-6 this season, and they have yet to lose as the favorite, going 15-0 in those games.

At home this season, Ole Miss has gone 14-1, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1. They are outscoring opponents by an average of 10.1 points per game at home this season.

When looking at Ole Miss’ ATS record this season, they currently sit at 13-11. At home, they have gone 9-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Rebels have an impressive 9-1 ATS mark. In their last 3 home games, Ole Miss is 2-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Ole Miss games is 13-11. So far, their games have averaged 147.4 points per game compared to an average over/under line of 143, resulting in an average margin of +4.5. This year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 142.5. Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

The Ole Miss offense is coming off a game where they scored 63 points against Kentucky. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.5% and connected on 5 threes. Matthew Murrell is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Allen Flanigan brings a PPG average of 15.5 into the game.

The Rebels’ defense is presently ranked 157th nationally, allowing an average of 71.6 points per contest. Ole Miss’ three-point defense is currently 158th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.2% of their shots vs. Ole Miss.