Betting on today’s Tigers and Wildcats game? Catch the action at Rupp Arena in Lexington, KY, as the Wildcats hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 161.5 points, and the Wildcats are favored to win at home against the Tigers.

MISSOURI TIGERS VS KENTUCKY WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Missouri Tigers +12.5

This game will be played at Rupp Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 9th.

WHY BET THE MISSOURI TIGERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Wildcats.
  • Even though we have Kentucky winning straight-up, we like Missouri at +12.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 161.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can the Missouri Offense Score Enough on the Road?

The Missouri Tigers enter this game with an 8-6 record, including a 0-1 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, they are 2-1, and they are coming off a 75-68 loss to Georgia.

So far this season, Missouri has been the underdog in three of their games, going 1-2 in those contests. They are 7-4 when favored, and they have been the underdog in two of their last three games.

As the underdog, Missouri has a 2-1 record vs. the spread this season and an overall ATS mark of 5-9. However, the Tigers have been better vs. the spread on the road (3-0) than at home (2-9). Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Missouri is 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Tigers are 3-0 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri games is 5-9 and today’s over/under line of 161.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 154 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2.

Compared to their season average of 75.9 points per game, Missouri struggled in their previous game. Against Georgia, the Tigers scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.4%. Sean East led the scoring for the Tigers, contributing 18 points. Additionally, Tamar Bates chipped in with 15 points.

Currently, the Tigers’ defense holds the 164th rank in the nation, allowing 71.6 points per game. Against Georgia, the Tigers’ defense gave up 75 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Georgia only made 6 free-throws.

Will Kentucky Come Through as Home Favorites?

At home this season, Kentucky has been dominant, going 8-2 with an average scoring margin of +17.8 points per game. In their last game, they defeated Florida, 87-85, and they have won five straight games overall.

So far, the Wildcats have been favored in 10 of their 13 games, going 9-1 in those matchups. For the season, they are 11-2, and their record in the Southeastern Conference is 1-0.

When looking at Kentucky’s ATS record this season, they have gone 9-4. At home, they are 6-4 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Kentucky is 6-4 vs. the spread. So far this season, the Wildcats have an ATS record of 6-4 when favored.

On the season, the over/under record for Kentucky games is 10-3. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 165.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 161.5 is lower than the season average OU line of 153.6. Over their last three games, the OU record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 169 points.

Kentucky’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Florida, finishing the game with a total of 87 points. Their season average is now 90.8 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Antonio Reeves, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19, while Rob Dillingham also maintains a PPG average of 13.7 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 221st rank in the nation, allowing 74.3 points per game. Kentucky’s three-point defense is currently 173rd in the country at 8.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.6% of their shots vs. Kentucky.