Planning on watching today’s Tigers and Gators game? Catch the action at Exactech Arena in Gainesville, FL, as the Gators hosts this showdown at 6:30 ET on SECN. The over/under for this Southeastern conference contest is set at 154 points, with Florida being favored by -13 at home against Missouri.


The Pick: Missouri Tigers +13

This game will be played at Exactech Arena at 6:30 ET on Wednesday, February 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Gators.
  • Even though we have Florida winning straight-up, we like Missouri at +13.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 154 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will the Tigers Pull Through as the Away Underdog?

Missouri enters this game as a 13-point underdog, and they have gone 1-12 in 13 games as the underdog this season. They are coming off an 88-73 loss to Arkansas, and they have lost 14 games in a row.

On the road this season, the Tigers have gone 2-8, and they have lost their last eight games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is -7.0 points per game, and they have gone 0-3 in their last three road games.

As the underdog, Missouri has gone 5-8 against the spread this season. On the road, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 this year and are 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri games is 13-14. The average scoring total in their games this year is 146.9 points, and the average over/under line in their games is 148 points. Today’s over/under line of 154 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1, and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Missouri offense tallied 73 points in a matchup against Arkansas. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.2%, and they made 5 threes. Sean East led the team in scoring, putting up 33 points. Additionally, Nick Honor contributed 14 points for the Tigers.

So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 243rd in the country at 74.9 points per contest. Against Arkansas in their most recent game, the Missouri defense gave up a total of 88 points while allowing Arkansas to hit 48% of their shots.

Will Florida Find a Way to Win at Home?

Florida comes into this game as the heavy favorite, favored by 13 points. They have been the favorite in 21 of their 27 games this season, going 17-4 in those games. At home, the Gators have been even better, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +15.1 points per game.

Florida is on a four-game winning streak, and they are 19-8 overall this season. In conference play, they are 9-4, compared to 10-4 in non-conference games. Their most recent game was a 77-64 win over Vanderbilt, and they have won their last six home games.

As the favorite this season, Florida has gone 9-12 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators are 5-5 vs. the spread. At home, Florida is 6-9 vs. the spread this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games as the favorite.

Florida’s over/under record this season sits at 14-11-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 155.6. Today’s line of 154 is lower than the average OU line in their games. So far, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 167 points.

In their latest game, Florida offense put up 77 points against Vanderbilt. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 46.7% and made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Gators was Will Richard with 21 points, while Walter Clayton Jr. also chipped in with 19 points.

Facing Missouri, Florida aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 77.1 points allowed per game (283rd). Florida’s three-point defense is currently 121st in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.4% of their shots vs. Florida.