Looking to win big? The Tigers and Razorbacks face off at 12:00 ET on ESPN2. The Razorbacks are hosting the game at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, AR. This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and Arkansas is favored to win by -4.5 at home vs. Missouri.


The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks -4.5

This game will be played at Bud Walton Arena at 12:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Razorbacks.
  • Not only will Arkansas pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Missouri Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

Missouri will be looking to snap their 13-game losing streak when they take on Arkansas on the road. So far this season, the Tigers have gone 2-7 on the road, and they have lost their last seven games away from home.

Overall, Missouri is just 8-18 on the year, and they are still looking for their first win in Southeastern Conference play, as they currently sit at 0-13 in conference games. Their average scoring margin on the road this season is -6.1 points per game.

Missouri has an overall ATS record of 8-18 this season, but they have gone 5-4 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Tigers’ ATS mark is 5-7 this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Missouri has gone just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record in Missouri games is 12-14 and today’s line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (148). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 5-5.

The Missouri offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against Tennessee. They posted a field goal percentage of 37.5% and connected on 10 threes. Sean East is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 16.4. Meanwhile, Tamar Bates also brings a PPG average of 13.7 into the game.

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 238th nationally, allowing an average of 74.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Missouri defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tennessee knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 72 points.

Can the Razorbacks Please their Home Crowd?

Arkansas is 11-5 at home this season, and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 games at home. They are favored by 4.5 points in this one, and they have gone 9-2 when favored this season. So far, Arkansas has gone 13-13 overall and 4-9 in the Southeastern Conference.

In their last game, the Razorbacks beat Texas A&M by a score of 78-71. Over their last five games, they have gone 2-3 at home, and they are 2-8 on the road this season.

As the favorite this season, Arkansas has gone just 3-8 against the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Razorbacks have an ATS mark of 2-8. At home, Arkansas has an ATS record of 6-10 this year and they are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games at Bud Walton Arena.

Arkansas’ over/under record for the season is 18-8 and the average scoring in their games is 153.1 points. Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than their average OU line of 150.1. This year, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 147 points compared to their season average of 153.1 points per game.

In their recent game, the Razorbacks’ offense concluded with 78 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.2 points per contest. Offensively, the Razorbacks have a season long field goal percentage of 44%, which is 230th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 290th in percentage and 325th in three-pointers made.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Arkansas is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 77.8 points per game (298th). The Arkansas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 71 points and allowed Texas A&M to connect on 6 threes.