Looking to win big? The Tigers and Crimson Tide face off at 7:00 ET on SECN. The Crimson Tide are hosting the game at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. The over/under for this game is set at 159 points, and the Crimson Tide are the home favorites against the Tigers in a Southeastern conference matchup.
MISSOURI TIGERS VS ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE BETTING PICK
The Pick: Missouri Tigers +14.5
This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 16th.
WHY BET THE MISSOURI TIGERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
- Even though we have Alabama winning straight-up, we like Missouri at +14.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 159 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Do the Tigers Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?
Missouri will look to snap their three-game losing streak when they take on Alabama as 14.5-point underdogs. The Tigers have gone just 1-3 as the underdog this season, and they are 8-8 overall.
With a 2-2 record on the road this season, Missouri has an average scoring margin of -3.2 points per game. Their last game was a 71-69 loss to South Carolina, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games on the road.
As the underdog this season, Missouri has gone 2-2 vs. the spread. On the road, the Tigers are 3-1 ATS this year and 6-4 in their last 10 road games. Overall, Missouri has an ATS mark of 5-11.
Missouri’s over/under record for the season is 7-9 and the average point total in their games is 148.2. Today’s over/under line of 159 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (149.7). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 149 points.
In contrast to their season average of 75.6 points per game, the Missouri had a below average performance. They scored 69 points against South Carolina and had a field goal percentage of 41.9%. On the offensive front, the Tigers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 214th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 229th in terms of percentage and 80th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Tigers’ defense is ranked 180th in the country at 72.7 points per contest. Against South Carolina in their most recent game, the Missouri defense gave up a total of 71 points while allowing South Carolina to hit 41% of their shots.
Will the Crimson Tide Win at Coleman Coliseum?
Alabama is a 14.5-point favorite against Missouri, and the Crimson Tide have been great at home this season, going 7-1 with an average scoring margin of +28.5 points per game. Alabama has won three straight games at home, and they are 10-2 as the favorite this season.
Overall, Alabama is 11-5 this season, and they have won five straight games. In conference play, the Crimson Tide are 3-0, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
Alabama has an ATS record of 9-7 this season, going 6-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.
So far this season, the over/under record for Alabama games is 11-5. The average scoring total in their games this year is 163.9 points compared to an average over/under line of 159.1 points, resulting in an average margin of 4.9 points. This year, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 159 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 143 points.
Alabama’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 82 points against Mississippi State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 43.1% and made 22/26 free throws. The team’s top scorer is Mark Sears, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20.3, while Aaron Estrada also carries a PPG average of 13.1 into the game.
So far, the Crimson Tide’s defense is ranked 208th in the country at 73.9 points per contest. The Alabama defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 74 points and allowed Mississippi State to connect on 7 threes.