It will be a battle between two tremendous defenses when the South Carolina Gamecocks (8-4, 0-1 SEC), 2-point favorites, challenge the Missouri Tigers (10-3) at Colonial Life Arena. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 138.5 points and it will air on ESPN2 at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 3, 2018.
Missouri Tigers at South Carolina Gamecocks ATS Odds
Both teams fell in their last contest. The Gamecocks fell to the Ole Miss Rebels, 74-69, while the Tigers were defeated by the Illinois Fighting Illini, 70-64.
Missouri had an offensive rebounding percentage of 44.4 (above their season average of 37.4) while South Carolina held Ole Miss to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.1 (below their season average of 30.1). Chris Silva had a solid performance for South Carolina, putting up 21 points and 13 rebounds. Jordan Barnett, meanwhile played a key role for Missouri with 19 points and 10 rebounds.
South Carolina might have difficulty putting up points as they go head-to-head against one of the NCAA’s best defenses. Missouri ranks 68th in defensive efficiency while the Gamecocks rank 258th in offensive efficiency. It could also be a sloppy game for the Tigers’ offense, which ranks 326th in ball protection (turnover percentage of 22.6 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Gamecocks, which forces the 54th-most turnovers in the NCAA (22.4 percent).
Of the Tigers’ 11 games with betting action, six have finished under the total. Missouri heads into the game with records of 10-3 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS).
Games featuring the Gamecocks have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. South Carolina has a respectable 8-4 SU record, but they are just 5-6-1 ATS.
Barnett has been outstanding recently for Missouri, averaging 18.2 points and 6.6 rebounds over the last five games.
The Gamecocks won the only contest between these two teams last season, 63-53. The Gamecocks’ 27.5 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Tigers, who had a rate of 22.0. This will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams.
Missouri Tigers vs. South Carolina Gamecocks Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – South Carolina, ATS Winner – South Carolina, O/U – Under
Missouri ranks 33rd in blocks per game (5.1) while South Carolina ranks 138th in blocks allowed per game (4.4).
The Tigers rank 14th in assists allowed per game (10.2) while the Gamecocks rank 37th (11.3).
Missouri ranks 64th in three pointers attempted per game (24.9) while South Carolina ranks 66th in three pointers allowed per game (20.3).
The Tigers average 6.1 steals per game, which ranks 123rd in the NCAA. The Gamecocks rank 173rd in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Missouri ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (30.5) while South Carolina ranks 52nd (32.3).
South Carolina is 2-2 ATS at home, while Missouri is 3-3 ATS on the road.
Of the Tigers’ 6 road games, they have 3 overs and 3 unders.
The Gamecocks have 2 overs, 1 under and 1 push in 4 home games.
The Gamecocks are 1-3 ATS over their last five games, while the Tigers are 1-4.
In their last five games, South Carolina has 3 unders and 1 over, while Missouri has 3 unders and 2 overs.
During their last five games, the Gamecocks have scored an average of 70.2 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 65.0 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 14.2, up from 12.4 for the season.