Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bears and Racers. The game is starting at 8:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Racers at CFSB Center in Murray, KY. Get ready to place your bets! This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 137 points, and Murray State is favored to win by -3.5 at home vs. Missouri State.

MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS MURRAY STATE RACERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Murray State Racers -3.5

This game will be played at CFSB Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, February 14th.

WHY BET THE MURRAY STATE RACERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Racers.
  • Not only will Murray State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 137 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bears Win on the Road?

Missouri State comes into this game as a 3.5-point underdog. They have gone 5-8 in their 13 games as the underdog this season. On the road, the Bears have gone 4-7 this season, and they are coming off a two-game losing streak.

Overall, Missouri State has gone 14-11 this season, and they have gone 6-8 in Missouri Valley Conference play. In their last game, they fell to Indiana State by a score of 73-71.

As the underdog, Missouri State has gone 6-6-1 vs. the spread this season. On the road, the Bears are 4-6-1 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Missouri State is 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri State games is 11-13. So far, their games have averaged 142.2 points compared to an average over/under line of 141.9, resulting in a margin of +0.3. Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this season and over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.

The Missouri State offense is coming off a game where they scored 71 points against Indiana State. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.3% and connected on 4 threes. Alston Mason was the leading scorer for the Bears, putting up 26 points. In addition, N.J. Benson contributed 11 points.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 131st nationally, allowing an average of 70.9 points per contest. Missouri State’s three-point defense is currently 162nd in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Missouri State.

Can the Racers Hold Strong at Home?

After a 73-70 win over Evansville, Murray State comes into this game with a record of 10-15. Their record in Missouri Valley Conference play is 7-7, and they are 5-8 at home this season.

So far, the Racers have been favored in 11 games, going 4-7 in those matchups. On the year, they have an average scoring margin of -1.7 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Murray State’s ATS record is just 2-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Racers are just 2-8 vs. the spread. At home this year, Murray State is 3-10 ATS and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Murray State is 9-15. In their games, the average scoring total is 137.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 137 is lower than the average over/under line in their games of 142.5 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 129 points.

The Murray State offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Evansville. They posted a field goal percentage of 49.2% and connected on 6 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Quincy Anderson with 20 points. Nick Ellington also added 19 points for the Racers.

At present, the Racers’ defense is nationally ranked 72nd, allowing 67.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Murray State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.6% this season.