Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Sycamores? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Indiana State as the -9.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 147.5 points.

MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS INDIANA STATE SYCAMORES BETTING PICK

The Pick: Missouri State Bears +9.5

This game will be played at Enterprise Center at 1:00 ET on Friday, March 8th.

WHY BET THE MISSOURI STATE BEARS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Sycamores.
  • Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Missouri State at +9.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

The Missouri State Bears come into this game as underdogs, as they have been in 18 of their 32 games this season. Their record as underdogs is 6-12, and they are just 5-10 on the road this year. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Missouri State’s average scoring margin on the road this year is -3.9 points per game. They are currently on a two-game win streak, and their overall record is 17-15. In their last game, they defeated Murray State by a score of 60-35.

As the underdog, Missouri State has gone 8-9-1 against the spread this season. On the road, their ATS record is 6-8-1, but over their last 3 road games, they are 2-1 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Missouri State games is 16-15, and today’s line of 147.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (142.1). So far, 17 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 123 points.

Compared to their season average of 71.6 points per game, Missouri State struggled in their previous game. Against Murray State, the Bears scored 60 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.7%. Alston Mason is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 17.7. Meanwhile, Donovan Clay also brings a PPG average of 12.6 into the game.

On defense, Missouri State is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.2 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Missouri State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.1% this season.

Can the Sycamores Live Up to the Hype at Home?

Indiana State has been dominant at home this season, going 13-1 with an average scoring margin of +20.1 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Sycamores have gone 9-1.

For the season, Indiana State has been favored in 26 of their 31 games, going 24-2 in those contests. The Sycamores are coming off an 89-77 win over Murray State and have won four straight games.

As the favorite, Indiana State has an ATS record of 16-9-1 this season. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Indiana State’s over/under record this season is 17-13 and today’s over/under line of 147.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (155.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 159 points compared to their season average of 156.8 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Indiana State offense ended with 89 points against Murray State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 60.9% and made 11 threes. The top scorer for the Sycamores was Ryan Conwell with 24 points, while Robbie Avila also chipped in with 23 points.

At present, the Sycamores’ defense is nationally ranked 175th, allowing 72.0 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Indiana State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.4% this season.