Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bears versus the Aces? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Ford Center in Evansville, IN. The Bears come into this Missouri Valley conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 144.5 points.
MISSOURI STATE BEARS VS EVANSVILLE ACES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Evansville Aces +4
This game will be played at Ford Center at 7:00 ET on Saturday, January 13th.
WHY BET THE EVANSVILLE ACES:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Aces.
- Not only will Evansville pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.
Will Missouri State Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?
Missouri State enters this game as the favorite, as they have a record of 5-2 as the favorite this season. On the road, the Bears have struggled, going just 1-5 this season.
Over their last 10 road games, Missouri State has gone just 3-7, and they have lost three straight games overall. Their most recent defeat came at the hands of Murray State, as they fell by a score of 77-53.
As the favorite this season, Missouri State has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have a mark of 6-4 ATS. On the road, they are 1-4-1 vs. the spread this year and 2-5-3 in their last 10 road games ATS. In their last three road games, Missouri State has gone 1-1-1 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Missouri State’s games this year (141). Currently, their over/under record is 7-8 and their games have averaged 138.5 points. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points.
Most recently, the Missouri State offense finished with just 53 points vs. Murray State. For the game, they hit 8/32 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 34.5%. Brad Mason led the scoring for the Bears, contributing 17 points. Additionally, Chance Moore chipped in with 12 points.
Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 111st rank in the nation, allowing 68.9 points per game. Against Murray State in their most recent game, the Missouri State defense gave up a total of 77 points while allowing Murray State to hit 34% of their shots.
No Pressure for Evansville as Home Dogs
Evansville comes into this game as a four-point underdog, and they are 6-5 this season when they are the underdog. They will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak, and they are 1-4 in Missouri Valley Conference play.
At home, the Aces have been much better, going 5-1 this season. Their average scoring margin at home is +8.3 points per game, and they are 7-3 in their last 10 games at home.
Evansville’s ATS record this season is 10-5, including a mark of 4-2 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Aces are 7-3 vs. the spread.
Evansville’s over/under record this season is 6-9 and today’s line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (147). So far, eight of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.
The Evansville offense is coming off a game in which they scored 50 points vs. Bradley. Overall their field goal percentage was 37.8% while connecting on 4 threes. In terms of offense, the Aces have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, putting them 131st in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 237th in percentage and 258th in three-pointers made.
So far, the Aces’ defense is ranked 212nd in the country at 73.5 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Bradley, the Braves finished with a field goal percentage of 53% and a total of 86 points vs. Evansville.