Betting on today’s Bears and Braves game? Catch the action at Carver Arena in Peoria, IL, as the Braves hosts this showdown at 4:00 ET on ESPN+. This Missouri Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 138.5 points, and the Braves are favored to win at home vs. the Bears.


The Pick: Bradley Braves -4.5

This game will be played at Carver Arena at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Braves.
  • Not only will Bradley pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 138.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Can Missouri State Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

So far this season, Missouri State has an overall record of 9-5 and is 1-2 in conference play. In their last game, they faced Northern Iowa and lost by a score of 64-62.

On the road, the Bears are just 1-4 this season and have an average scoring margin of -5.0 points per game. Over their last ten road games, they are just 3-7.

Missouri State’s ATS record for the season is currently 7-5-1. On the road, their ATS record is 1-3-1. As the underdog, the Bears have gone 3-3-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Missouri State has a mark of 4-3-3.

Missouri State’s over/under record for the season is 6-7 and today’s line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (140.7). So far, eight of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 131 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

Compared to their season average of 72.8 points per game, Missouri State struggled in their previous game. Against Northern Iowa, the Bears scored 62 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 43.4%. Leading the team in scoring is Brad Mason, who is averaging 18.2 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Donovan Clay also maintains a PPG average of 14.4 heading into game.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 82nd nationally, allowing an average of 67.1 points per contest. Missouri State’s three-point defense is currently 72nd in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 39.2% of their shots vs. Missouri State.

Will Bradley Win at Home?

Bradley comes into this game as 4.5-point favorites, and they have been favored in 10 of their 14 games this season. So far, they have a 9-5 record and are on a two-game winning streak.

In their last game, the Braves faced Valparaiso and came away with an 86-61 victory. Over their last 10 games at home, Bradley is 7-3, and they are 4-2 at home this season.

As the favorite this season, Bradley has gone 5-3-2 against the spread. At home, their ATS record is 3-2-1 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-3-2. In their last three home games, the Braves have gone 0-1-1 vs. the spread and they are 1-2-1 ATS in their last five home games.

This season, the over/under record for Bradley is 10-3 and today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139). So far, 7 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points.

Bradley’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 86 points vs. Valparaiso. Overall, they hit 48.4% of their shots from the field and went 15/22 from the free-throw line. Leading Bradley in scoring vs. Valparaiso was Connor Hickman with his 28 points. Ahmet Jonovic also added 15 points for the Braves.

At this time, the Braves’ defense is positioned 96th in the country, permitting 68.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Bradley’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 28.8% this season.