Looking to win big? The Bears and Bruins face off at 6:00 ET on ESPNU. The Bruins are hosting the game at Curb Event Center in Nashville, TN. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have Belmont as the -6.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 152 points.


The Pick: Missouri State Bears +6.5

This game will be played at Curb Event Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Bruins.
  • Even though we have Belmont winning straight-up, we like Missouri State at +6.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Will Missouri State Make it Happen on the Road?

Missouri State enters this game with a 15-13 overall record, including a 7-10 mark in Missouri Valley Conference play. On the road, the Bears have gone 4-8 this season, and they come into this game on a two-game losing streak away from home.

Over the team’s last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is -5.7 points per game. As the underdog this season, Missouri State has gone 5-10, and they are 15-13 overall.

Missouri State’s ATS record for the season is currently 13-13-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-7-1. In their last 10 road games, the Bears have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Missouri State’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-13, and their games have averaged 143.3 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 152 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (141.8). Over their last three games, their over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those contests is 152 points.

In their latest game, Missouri State offense put up 62 points against Bradley. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 39.2% and made 4 threes. Offensively, the Bears have a season long field goal percentage of 43%, which is 244th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 299th in percentage and 230th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today’s game, the Missouri State defense is giving up an average of 72.0 points per contest. Against Bradley in their most recent game, the Missouri State defense gave up a total of 86 points while allowing Bradley to hit 39% of their shots.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Bruins?

Belmont has been dominant at home this season, going 9-2. They have won two straight at home, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 8-2. Overall, the Bruins are 16-12, including a 9-8 record in Missouri Valley play.

Belmont comes in as the favorite for the 12th time this season, and they are 11-1 when favored. For the year, they have a scoring differential of +5.1 points per game at home.

As the favorite this season, Belmont has gone 7-5 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record is 6-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bruins have gone 7-3 vs. the spread. In their last three home games, they are 3-0 ATS.

Belmont games have an over/under record of 12-15 this season, and today’s line of 152 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (154.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 145 points, and in their last 10 games, the average is 150 points. So far this year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line of 152.

The Belmont offense is coming off a game where they scored 69 points against Drake. They posted a field goal percentage of 41.3% and connected on 7 threes. Malik Dia is leading the team in scoring at 17.2 points per contest. Cade Tyson has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 16.3 going into the game.

Coming into today’s game, the Belmont defense is giving up an average of 77.1 points per contest. Belmont’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Drake offense to knock down 51% of their shots on their way to putting up 84 points.