The Delta Devils and Hornets are set to face off at 8:30 ET on None. The Hornets will host the game at Dunn-Oliver Acadome in Montgomery, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 129 points, and Alabama State is favored by -15.5 to win at home against Mississippi Valley State.

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS VS ALABAMA STATE HORNETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils +15.5

This game will be played at Dunn-Oliver Acadome at 8:30 ET on Monday, February 19th.

WHY BET THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE DELTA DEVILS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Hornets.
  • Even though we have Alabama State winning straight-up, we like Mississippi Valley State at +15.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 129 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Can Mississippi Valley State Stun the Crowd at Dunn-Oliver Acadome?

Mississippi Valley State is 0-25 this season and has lost 24 in a row, including an 80-57 defeat to Alabama A&M. The Delta Devils are 0-11 in Southwestern Athletic Conference play and 0-14 outside the conference.

On the road, Mississippi Valley State is 0-18 this season and has lost 18 straight games. The Delta Devils’ average scoring margin on the road is -31.9 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Mississippi Valley State has gone 8-16 against the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-12. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Delta Devils have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi Valley State is 12-12 and today’s over/under line of 129 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (135.4). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.

The Mississippi Valley State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 57 points vs. Alabama A&M. Overall their field goal percentage was 32.7% while connecting on 5 threes. The team’s scoring leader is Rayquan Brown, who holds an average of 18.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Donovan Sanders is averaging 10.4 points per game this season.

Looking at the Mississippi Valley State defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.8 points per game (319th). So far, the Mississippi Valley State defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 14.9 times per game (707th).

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Alabama State?

Alabama State has struggled recently, losing three straight games to fall to 11-14 on the year. They are 5-6 in Southwestern Athletic Conference action compared to a 6-8 non-conference record.

At home, the Hornets are just 2-4 this season, and over their last 10 games at home, they are 5-5. They will be looking to bounce back after an 80-74 loss to UAPB.

As the favorite, Alabama State has gone 4-3 against the spread this season. However, their ATS mark at home is just 1-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Hornets are 4-6 vs. the spread.

Alabama State’s over/under record for the season is 9-12 and today’s line of 129 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (145). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points compared to the season average of 140.

In their previous game, the Hornets’ offense finished with 74 points, which is right in line with their current average of 69.5 points per contest. Ubong Okon led the scoring for the Hornets, contributing 11 points. Additionally, Micah Octave chipped in with 11 points.

So far, the Hornets’ defense is ranked 120th in the country at 70.0 points per contest. Alabama State’s three-point defense is currently 135th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.6% of their shots vs. Alabama State.