The Bulldogs and Aggies are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPNU. The Aggies will host the game at Reed Arena in College Station, TX. The over/under for this game is set at 139.5 points, and Texas A&M is favored by -1.5 vs. Mississippi State in a Southeastern conference matchup.


The Pick: Texas A&M Aggies -1.5

This game will be played at Reed Arena at 9:00 ET on Wednesday, March 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Aggies.
  • Not only will Texas A&M pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -1.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 139.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Mississippi State Make it Happen on the Road?

Mississippi State heads into this game as the underdog, as they have been in seven of their 29 games this season. They have gone 2-5 in those games, and they are coming off a 78-63 loss to Auburn.

On the road this season, the Bulldogs have gone 6-7, and their average scoring margin is +2.1 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 14-14-1 this season and is 2-5 vs. the spread as the underdog. On the road, the Bulldogs have gone 6-7 vs. the spread this year and are 4-6 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Mississippi State’s over/under record for the season is 13-15-1. Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (141.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 157 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 2-1.

In their most recent game, the Mississippi State offense put up just 63 points vs. the Auburn Tigers. Overall, they are now averaging 75 points per game which is 159th in the country. Leading Mississippi State in scoring vs. Auburn was Josh Hubbard with his 23 points. Tolu Smith also added 14 points for the Bulldogs.

The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 87th nationally, allowing an average of 68.7 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Mississippi State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Auburn knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 78 points.

Can the Aggies Grab a Win at Home?

After winning their last game against Georgia, the Texas A&M Aggies will look to improve their home record to 11-6 when they take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs. So far this season, the Aggies have been favored in 21 games, going 13-8 in those contests.

At home, Texas A&M has gone 6-4 over their last 10 games, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five. On the season, the Aggies have an average scoring margin of +7.5 points per game at home, compared to -2.4 on the road.

As the favorite this season, Texas A&M has gone just 8-13 against the spread. At home, the Aggies are 6-10 vs. the spread and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have a mark of 3-7 ATS. In their last 10 home games, Texas A&M has an ATS record of just 2-8.

On the season, the over/under record for Texas A&M games is 16-13 and today’s line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (143.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 133 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. For the year, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

In their most recent game, the Aggies’ offense tallied 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 72.9 points per game. Offensively, the Aggies have a season long field goal percentage of 39%, which is 394th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 406th in percentage and 272nd in three-pointers made.

The Aggies’ defense is presently ranked 114th nationally, allowing an average of 69.9 points per contest. So far, the Texas A&M defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.4 times per game (380th).