Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bulldogs versus the Volunteers? Tip off is at at 1:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN. The game will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. The over/under for this Southeastern conference contest is set at 141.5 points, with Tennessee being favored by -10 at home against Mississippi State.


The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +10

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 1:00 ET on Friday, March 15th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Volunteers.
  • Even though we have Tennessee winning straight-up, we like Mississippi State at +10.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 141.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will the Bulldogs Win in Nashville?

Mississippi State is 19-12 this season and has gone 9-9 in the Southeastern Conference. The Bulldogs have been better at home, going 13-3 compared to 7-8 on the road. They are 2-6 as the underdog this season.

Most recently, Mississippi State beat LSU by a score of 70-60. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone just 3-7. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is +2.1 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Mississippi State has gone just 2-6 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS record for the year is 15-15-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are just 3-7 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi State games is 14-16-1. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 143.2 points, which is slightly higher than the average over/under line of 141.2 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 152 points.

In their latest game, Mississippi State offense put up 70 points against LSU. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.8% and made 6 threes. The Mississippi State offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 22.7 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 32% of their looks from outside this season.

Coming into today’s game, the Mississippi State defense is giving up an average of 69.3 points per contest. The Mississippi State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 60 points and allowed LSU to connect on 7 threes.

Will the Volunteers Come Through as Home Favorites?

Heading into today’s game, Tennessee is 24-7 overall and 14-4 in Southeastern Conference play. They have been even better at home, going 15-2 this season, and their average scoring margin is +19.1 points per game.

Over their last ten home games, the Volunteers are 8-2, and they have gone 4-1 over their last five. On the year, Tennessee has been favored in 26 of their 31 games, going 22-4 as the favorite.

As the favorite, Tennessee has gone 14-11-1 vs. the spread this season and they have an overall ATS mark of 16-14-1. At home, the Volunteers are 10-6-1 vs. the spread this year and in their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 6-4 ATS.

Today’s over/under line of 141.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Tennessee’s games this year (145.9). The over/under record for the Volunteers this season is 16-15. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record during that stretch is 0-3. So far this year, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

In their latest game, Tennessee offense put up 81 points against Kentucky. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 37.8% and made 12 threes. Leading the team in scoring is Dalton Knecht, who is averaging 21.4 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jonas Aidoo also maintains a PPG average of 12.1 heading into game.

At present, the Volunteers’ defense is nationally ranked 67th, allowing 67.7 points per game. Tennessee will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Kentucky to just 37% shooting in their most recent game.