Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Tigers. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on SECN, and it’s hosted by the Tigers at Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge, LA. Get ready to place your bets! Mississippi State come into this Southeastern conference matchup as the -2.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 145.5 points.


The Pick: LSU Tigers +2.5

This game will be played at Pete Maravich Assembly Center at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 24th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will LSU pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 145.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Bulldogs Win in Baton Rouge?

Mississippi State will look to extend their win streak to five games when they take on LSU. The Bulldogs have gone 18-8 overall this season, including a 7-6 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, Mississippi State is 5-6, compared to 13-2 at home.

For the year, Mississippi State has been favored in 20 of their 26 games, going 16-4 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.0 points per game, while at home, it is +10.6.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 13-12-1 this season and they are 11-8-1 vs. the spread when they are the favorite. On the road, the Bulldogs are 5-6 ATS this year and over their last 10 road games they have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.

Mississippi State’s over/under record for the season is 11-14-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 142 points. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this year (140.4). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.

Mississippi State’s offense had a good outing, putting up 83 points against Ole Miss. They achieved a 50% field goal percentage and went 23/39 from the free-throw line. Currently leading the team in scoring is Josh Hubbard who comes into today’s matchup averaging 14.6. Cameron Matthews also heads into the game with a PPG average of 9.6.

So far this season, the Mississippi State defense has been performing well, ranking 63rd in the country at 67.5 points allowed per contest. In today’s game vs. LSU, the Mississippi State defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Mississippi State made 23 free-throws vs. the Bulldogs.

Does LSU Have What it Takes at Home?

LSU comes into this game as the underdog, and they have gone 4-10 in that role this season. They are 11-5 at home compared to 3-7 on the road, and their average scoring margin at home is +9.2 compared to -7.2 on the road. The Tigers have won two straight games, and they are 14-12 overall.

Over their last 10 home games, LSU has gone 7-3, including a 3-2 mark over their last five. In their most recent game, they beat Kentucky by a score of 75-74.

As the underdog this season, LSU has gone 6-8 vs. the spread. At home, the Tigers are 7-9 ATS this year and 5-5 in their last 10 games. Over their last three games as the underdog, LSU is 3-0 vs. the spread.

LSU’s over/under record for the season sits at 13-13, and today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (149). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points compared to the season average of 151.5 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Tigers’ offense tallied 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 77.2 points per game. The top scorer for the Tigers was Tyrell Ward with 17 points, while Jalen Reed also chipped in with 13 points.

Coming into today’s game, the LSU defense is giving up an average of 74.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.6 threes per game vs. Mississippi State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.7%.