Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulldogs and Tigers. The game is starting at 1:00 ET on ESPN, and it’s hosted by the Tigers at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN. Get ready to place your bets! This Southeastern conference matchup has an over/under of 143 points, and Auburn is favored to win by -7.5 at home vs. Mississippi State.


The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7.5

This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena at 1:00 ET on Saturday, March 16th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Even though we have Auburn winning straight-up, we like Mississippi State at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.

Will Mississippi State Find a Way to Win on the Road?

Mississippi State will enter this game as a 7.5-point underdog. They have gone 4-6 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin is +3.8 points per game.

Over their last five games, the Bulldogs have gone 3-2 on the road, and they are currently riding a three-game win streak.

Mississippi State has an ATS record of 17-15-1 this season. On the road, the Bulldogs are 9-8 vs. the spread. As the underdog, their ATS mark is 4-6 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 3-7 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 2-1.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi State games is 14-18-1 with an average of 142.4 points per game. Today’s line of 143 is higher than the average OU line in their games (141.2). Over their last three games, the OU record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 146 points.

The Bulldogs’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 75 points per contest. Josh Hubbard is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Tolu Smith brings a PPG average of 15.5 into the game.

At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 80th, allowing 68.6 points per game. Mississippi State will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Tennessee to just 30% shooting in their most recent game.

Can the Auburn Offense Score Enough at Home?

At home this season, Auburn has been dominant, going 17-1 with an average scoring margin of +20.4 points per game. Over their last 10 home games, the Tigers’ record is 9-1.

Overall, Auburn has gone 24-7 on the year. They have won their last five games and are currently on a four-game winning streak at home.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has gone 21-10 against the spread. Their home ATS mark is 12-6, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers are 7-3 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Auburn games is 14-19, and today’s line of 143 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150.3). So far, 19 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 162 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Auburn offense tallied 86 points in a matchup against South Carolina. Their field goal percentage for the game was 49.3%, and they made 9 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Johni Broome who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.3. Jaylin Williams also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.6.

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 63rd nationally, allowing an average of 67.7 points per contest. Auburn’s three-point defense is currently 51st in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.1% of their shots vs. Auburn.