Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bulldogs versus the Crimson Tide? Tip off is at at 8:30 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on SECN. The game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, AL. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 156 points, and Alabama is favored by -8.5 to win at home against Mississippi State.


The Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs +8.5

This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum at 8:30 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Crimson Tide.
  • Even though we have Alabama winning straight-up, we like Mississippi State at +8.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 156 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Can Mississippi State Lock in a Road Win?

Mississippi State enters this game as 8.5-point underdogs, and they have gone 2-3 this season when they are the underdog. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 4-6, and they are currently on a four-game road losing streak.

On the season, Mississippi State is 14-7, including a 10-2 record at home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.3 compared to +10.8 at home. In their last game, the Bulldogs lost to Ole Miss by a score of 86-82.

Mississippi State has a .500 record vs. the spread this season at 10-10-1. On the road, the Bulldogs are 4-5 vs. the spread this year and 0-3 in their last three road games. As the underdog, Mississippi State is 2-3 vs. the spread this season and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the underdog.

Mississippi State’s over/under record for the season is 9-11-1 and the average over/under line in their games is 139.3. So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line of 156. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 1-2.

In their latest game, Mississippi State offense put up 82 points against Ole Miss. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 53.6% and made 8 threes. Coming into the game, the Bulldogs offense has strugled with their outside shot this season, hitting threes at a rate of just 31%. On average, they get up 23.4 three-point attempts per game and are averaging 14.3 made free-throws.

So far, the Bulldogs’ defense is ranked 63rd in the country at 66.9 points per contest. Mississippi State’s three-point defense is currently 95th in the country at 6.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Mississippi State.

Can the Crimson Tide Offense Score Enough at Home?

Alabama has been dominant at home this season, going 10-1 with an average scoring margin of +24.6 points per game. They have won six straight at home and are 14-2 when favored this season.

Overall, Alabama has won three straight games and enters with a 15-6 record. They are 7-1 in Southeastern Conference play and 8-5 in non-conference games. In their last game, the Crimson Tide defeated Georgia, 85-76.

Alabama has been one of the better teams in the country against the spread this season, posting a mark of 13-8. They have been especially strong vs. the spread at home, going 9-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 7-3 vs. the spread.

Alabama’s over/under record this season is 14-7 and the average over/under line in their games is 160. So far, their games have averaged 165 points. Today’s over/under line is 156. This season, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line.

Alabama’s offense had a good outing, putting up 85 points against Georgia. They achieved a 53.3% field goal percentage and went 13/19 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Crimson Tide have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 40th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 41st in percentage and 4th in three-pointers made.

The Crimson Tide’s defense is presently ranked 245th nationally, allowing an average of 75.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.9% this season.