Air Canada Centre is the site for an East-West matchup as the Toronto Maple Leafs take on the visiting Minnesota Wild. The first puck will drop at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 8, and it can be watched live on Sportsnet.
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
Minnesota (+130) is entering this one as the underdog to Toronto (-150), and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at an even 6 goals (-110 for the over, -110 for the under). After they initially opened at -115 over and -105 under, those O/U odds have shifted.
Toronto is 9-7 straight up (SU) and has recorded -0.3 units for moneyline bettors thus far. That winning percentage, the second-best in the Atlantic Division in this young season, is a welcome improvement over the 40-42 record from the 2016-17 season campaign. Through 16 regular season outings, 11 of the team’s games have gone over the total, while four have gone under and just one has pushed. The team’s 5-3 SU at home thus far.
The Maple Leafs have been able to convert on 24.1 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s good enough for sixth-best in the NHL. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked 21st overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 80.0 percent of all penalties.
The Maple Leafs, as a collective unit, have been called for penalties just 3.9 times per game overall this season, and 3.0 per game over their last five at home. The team has been forced to defend opposition power plays for just 7.1 minutes per game over their last 10 outings, in total.
Sporting a .895 save percentage and 29.1 saves per game, Frederik Andersen (8-6) has been the primary option in goal for Toronto this year. If head coach Mike Babcock decides to give him the evening off, however, Toronto may roll with Curtis McElhinney (1-1-1 record, .869 save percentage, 4.10 goals against average).
Auston Matthews and Nazem Kadri will both look to continue their strong seasons for the Maple Leafs. Matthews (19 points) has put up 10 goals and nine assists and has recorded multiple points on six different occasions this year. Kadri has eight goals and five assists to his name and has notched a point in seven games.
On the other bench, Minnesota is 5-8 straight up (SU) and has lost 4.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline this year. Through 13 regular season matches, eight of its games have gone over the total, while four have gone under and just one has pushed. As the visiting team, the Wild are 2-4 SU so far.
The Wild have converted on 17.1 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a mark that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 10th overall and it’s successfully defended 82.0 percent of all opponent power plays.
Minnesota’s skaters have been penalized 4.1 times per game this season. Last year, that number was at 3.4, which was the fifth-lowest mark in the league. After serving an average of 8.1 penalty minutes per game a season ago the team has been forced to kill penalties for 8.8 minutes per matchup this year.
Devan Dubnyk (3.03 goals against average and .907 save percentage) has been the primary option in goal for Minnesota. Dubnyk is averaging 28.2 saves per game and has four wins, six losses, and one overtime loss to his credit.
Jared Spurgeon (two goals, eight assists) has been one of the most vital facilitators on offense for the visiting Wild.
Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Picks
Predictions: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over
Seven of Toronto’s last ten games have been decided by two or more goals. The team is 2-5 overall in those games.
The Wild are 3-5 SU when they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Maple Leafs are 5-2 SU in games where they spend more time in the box than the opposition.
Toronto may have an advantage if it’s a close one late. The team’s 4-1 in games decided by one goal, while Minnesota is 1-5 in such games.
The total has gone over in three of Toronto’s last five outings.
Toronto has averaged 17.0 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 12.7 giveaways per game (ranked 28th).