Looking to win big? The Wild and Lightning face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Lightning are hosting the game at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 6 goals, and the Lightning are the home favorites against the Wild in a non-conference matchup.
MINNESOTA WILD VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5
This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Thursday, January 18th.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:
- Based on projections, we have the Lightning coming out on top by a score of 4-2.
- Take the Lightning on the moneyline
- The Lightning should also cover at -1.5
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Minnesota?
Minnesota heads into tonight’s game with a record of 18-20-5, placing them 13th in the Western Conference. On the road, the Wild have gone 7-11-2 and are 7th in the Central Division. Over their last ten games, Minnesota has gone just 2-8.
As the underdog, the Wild have gone 5-16-3 this season. In games against other Western Conference teams, Minnesota has gone 8-11. Over their last five games, the Wild have gone just 1-4.
On the road, the Wild have gone 11-9 vs. the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin away from home is -.5 goals per game. So far, Minnesota has gone 22-21 vs. the puck line this season, including a puck line mark of 3-7 in their last ten games.
Overall, the Wild have 11 wins by multiple goals compared to 14 losses by more than one goal. In their last ten road games, Minnesota has gone 6-4 vs. the puck line.
This season, Minnesota’s games are averaging 6.3 goals per game. Their average over/under line is 6.2. The Wild currently have an over/under record of 20-19-4.
Across their three previous road games, Minnesota has an puck line mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 2 goals per game.
The Wild come into the game scoring an average of 2.9 goals per game, putting them 26th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 19th in the league. This season, the Wild are 12-8 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 6-12 record.
The leading scorer for Minnesota’s offense is Joel Eriksson Ek. Coming into the game he has 17 goals, ranking 40th in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Eriksson Ek has 13 assists this season.
Tampa Bay defense takes on the Wild ranked 17th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 6th in shutouts, with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Filip Gustavsson gets the start and has made 23 starts this season. His record at this point is 10-10, and his save percentage is 0.748%.
Can Tampa Bay Lock in a Home Win?
At 49 points, the Lightning sit in 8th place in the Eastern Conference and 5th in the Atlantic Division. They have gone 22-17-5 overall, 9-11 against the East, and 4-7 in divisional games. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 6-4, and they have won three straight games.
When playing at home, Tampa Bay has gone 14-5-3 for the season and have won four straight games. As the favorite, the Lightning have gone 14-8-1, and they have won four straight games when favored.
So far this season, Tampa Bay has an average scoring differential of -.1 goals per game. In their 44 games as the favorite, the Lightning have gone 21-23 on the puck line, including 13-9 at home.
Across their last ten games at home, Tampa Bay has a puck line record of 6-4. Overall, the team has 14 multiple-goal wins and 16 losses by more than one goal.
Games involving Tampa Bay have an average of 6.7 goals per game this season. Their average over/under line is 6.5. In terms of their over/under performance, the Lightning come in with a record of 19-21-4.
In their last three games away from home, the Wild have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 2 goals per game in this stretch.
The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.3 goals per game, putting them 7th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 16th in the league. The Tampa Bay offense is ranked 2nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they find themselves at 31st in the NHL.
Tampa Bay will be looking for a good game from Nikita Kucherov who leads the team in scoring with 28 goals, ranking 3rd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 44 assists this season.
The Lightning defense is currently 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Tampa Bay. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 6th with 3 shutouts.
Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy comes into the game having made 21 starts this season. So far, his record is 12-9 and he has a save percentage of 0.68%.