The Vikings will face the Broncos in this week 11 CFB game, airing on NBC at 8:20 (11/19/23). The contest is set to occur at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver (CO). Denver is set to take on the Vikings in this non-conference matchup, and they are favored by 2 at home. Read on for my thoughts and betting angles.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS DENVER BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Vikings +2
This game will be played at Empower Field at Mile High at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 19th.
WHY BET THE MINNESOTA VIKINGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 21-20 in favor of the Vikings.
- Our projections have Joshua Dobbs finishing with 256.456 passing yards on 24.516/38.119 passing.
- The Vikings are projected to finish with 323 yards of offense compared to the 310 yards for the Broncos.
Will Minnesota Pull Through as the Underdog Road Team?
As they prepare to face the Broncos, the Vikings hold a 6-4 record. Within the NFC-North, they currently sit in 2nd place and are 7th place in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Vikings have a 6-3-1 record. Heading into week 11, their scoring margin is at +2.4 (per game).
On offense, the Vikings are averaging 23.3 points per game, putting them 11th in the NFL. As a team, Minnesota ranks 3rd in the NFL for passing yards per game with an average of 272.4. Their passing yards per attempt of 7.1, places them at 7 in the league.
At 85.7 rushing yards per game, the Vikings are currently ranked 28th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 23.1 time per game which is 28th.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Vikings give up an average of 224.4 passing yards and 98.8 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Minnesota is currently ranked 7th in the league. So far, they are giving up 20.9 points per game and 323.2 yards.
Will the Broncos Win at Home?
This season, the Broncos currently hold an overall record of 4-5, placing them 4th in the AFC-West. They’ve achieved this record with a 2-2 record as underdogs and 2-3 when favored. The Broncos’ have a scoring margin of -5.8 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 3-5-1.
This season, the Denver offense has an average of 21.8 points, placing them 14th in the league. In this week’s game, Denver’s passing game is currently 27th in passing yards. Additionally, they are 26th in pass attempts, throwing an average of 29.1 passes each game.
At 117.3 rushing yards per game, the Broncos are currently ranked 11th in the NFL. In terms of attempts, they are carrying the ball an average of 25.8 time per game which is 17th.
On defense, the Broncos come into the game ranked 14th in tackles for loss and 15th in sacks. Opponents are scoring 27.6 points per game vs. them along with an average of 401.8 yards per contest.